Bristol City vs Wrexham Prediction

Wrexham Away Value Too Strong to Ignore

Preview

A Championship clash under the lights, this is. Separated by mere point in the table, Bristol City and Wrexham are. Nine home, eight away, the hosts and visitors stand. But look deeper, you must, to find where value lies.

Fortress Ashton Gate, Bristol City has built. 2.40 goals per game at home they score, and 60% of recent home battles, they have won. Mighty victories, 5-0 over Portsmouth and 5-1 over Watford, they achieved. Yet fragile, their defense can be. 0-5 to Derby they lost, and 0-2 to Preston. Five goals conceded at home to the Rams, a warning this is. Hull City, strong in form (2.10 PPG), they defeated 3-2 away, but consistency, eludes them.

Strong with the away form, Wrexham is. Perfect their recent travels have been - four wins from four away games. 2.00 goals per game on the road they score, while only 0.75 they concede. Derby (1.20 PPG away), Blackburn (1.10 PPG), and QPR (1.30 PPG), all fell to the Red Dragons. Even Ipswich (2.10 PPG), high-fliers they are, Wrexham defeated 1-0 in the cup. Momentum, a powerful force it is.

One meeting only, these sides have had. 2-0 to Wrexham, that game went. History repeats itself, it may. More shots Wrexham takes (13.4 to 11.4), while more possession Bristol keeps (54% to 50%). End-to-end, this contest promises to be.

Key Points:

  • Wrexham have won 100% of their last 4 away games in the league
  • Bristol City have scored 2.40 goals per game at home but conceded 1.60
  • The only previous meeting this season ended 2-0 to Wrexham
  • Wrexham are averaging 2.00 points per game over their last 10 matches

Summary: Value in the away odds, I sense. 3.40 too generous for a team with such momentum. The force is strong with Wrexham. Bet on the away win, you should.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.40
+EV
+19.0%
Estimated Chance35%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN