Bromley vs Crawley Town Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle down at Bromley. The lads in fifth are hosting a Crawley side who're propping up the bottom end of the table, and on paper, this looks like a proper mismatch.

Bromley have been decent enough at home this season, winning 60% of their games on their own patch. They've been banging in 1.6 goals per game at home while keeping things relatively tight at the back. Recent results show they can mix it with the best - they beat Salford 2-0 and Barrow 2-1, though they did come unstuck against top-of-the-table Walsall in their last outing.

Crawley, on the other hand, are having a right old time of it on their travels. Zero wins away from home this season, and they're shipping goals for fun - 2.4 per game on the road! That's proper leaky, that is. Their recent form shows they can score (they netted three in that 4-3 defeat to Salford), but they just can't stop conceding.

The stats tell a clear story here. Bromley are solid at home, Crawley are shocking away. The visitors have managed just one clean sheet in their last ten games, while Bromley have kept three in the same period. When you look at the goal averages - Bromley scoring 1.6 at home vs Crawley conceding 2.4 away - you can see where this might be heading.

Both teams tend to score in their games (70% of the time for both sides), but with Bromley's home advantage and Crawley's defensive woes on the road, I'm fancying the home side to get the job done. The odds of 1.80 for a home win look about right to me, maybe even a touch generous given the gulf in form and home/away records.

Key Points:

• Bromley boast a 60% home win rate this season

• Crawley have won 0% of their away games - shocking stuff!

• Crawley concede 2.4 goals per game on their travels

• Both teams score in 70% of Bromley's recent games

• Bromley sit 5th in the table, Crawley are down in 19th

The Verdict: Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet. Bromley at home against a Crawley side who can't buy a win on the road? I'm backing the home side to take all three points here.