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Burgos host Granada CF at their ground on 12 October in the Segunda División, and the numbers tell a clear story about which side holds the advantage. Burgos's home record over 20 games is 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses, with 1.4 goals scored per game and just 0.8 conceded. They have kept 9 clean sheets in those 20 home fixtures. Granada CF, by contrast, have won only 7 of their last 20 away games, drawing 1 and losing 12, conceding 1.6 per game and keeping just 5 clean sheets on the road.
Granada's recent form adds to the concern. In their last five matches they have won once, drawn once and lost three times, conceding 12 goals in that span. Their only victory came on 4 October, a 3–2 away win at Real Sociedad II. Before that, they lost 2–3 at home to FC Andorra and 2–3 at Leganes, and were beaten 0–3 at Eibar on 6 September. Burgos, meanwhile, have won three of their last five, losing only to Almeria 1–2 on 3 October. At home they beat Eldense 1–0 on 27 September and AD Ceuta FC 3–1 on 11 September.
The head-to-head is mostly historical. The one meeting within the last 12 months was on 16 May 2026 at Granada's ground, where Burgos won 1–0. The older meetings at Burgos's ground produced two draws (1–1 and 2–2) and one Granada win (1–3), but those games stretch back 12 months to three years and do not reflect current form.
The counter-argument is that Granada's 3–2 win at Real Sociedad II on 4 October showed they can score and compete, and that Burgos's last game was a loss. Granada have also scored in four of their last five matches, which keeps the door open for an open game. However, their away record of 12 losses in 20 games and a 1.6 goals-conceded average make that a thin reed to stand on.
Key Points:
- Burgos have won 11 of their last 20 home games, conceding 0.8 per game
- Granada CF have lost 12 of their last 20 away games, conceding 1.6 per game
- Granada's last five matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, 12 goals conceded
- The only recent head-to-head (May 2026) was a 1–0 Burgos win
- Granada's away record includes only 1 draw in 20 games
The evidence points firmly to Burgos, but the margin is not large enough for me to call this a certainty. Granada have won 7 of 20 away games, and Burgos have dropped points at home before. I am not comfortable recommending a bet here.
Verdict: No Bet.