Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction

Sassuolo to Grill Genoa at Home

Preview

Listen up boet! This one looks like a proper braai where Sassuolo's doing the cooking and Genoa's on the menu. The league table tells a wild story - Sassuolo sitting comfy in 10th with 13 points while Genoa's rocking the wooden spoon at the bottom with just 3 points. That's a bigger gap than my appetite after a long day!

Sassuolo's been decent at home lately, winning 2 out of their last 3 at their own patch. They just came off a solid 2-1 away win against Cagliari, showing they can score when it matters. Their home defense has been tighter than a new pair of boots - only letting in 0.33 goals per home game. That's proper stuff!

Genoa though? Ag ne man, they're struggling more than I do on a Monday morning. Their away form is shocking - 0 wins in their last 4 away trips, conceding 1.75 goals per game on the road. They just lost 0-2 at home to Cremonese and 2-1 away at Torino. The only bright spot was a Coppa Italia win against Empoli, but that's like being proud of burning the boerewors - doesn't count for much!

Head-to-head these teams have been pretty even (3-3-3 overall), but Sassuolo usually handles business at home against Genoa (2-1-1 record). Both teams tend to score in this fixture, but given Genoa's away struggles and Sassuolo's home defensive record, I'm not so sure about that pattern continuing.

The stats paint a clear picture: Sassuolo averages 1.33 goals at home while Genoa only manages 1.00 away and leaks 1.75. With Sassuolo's home form and Genoa's travel sickness, this looks like a home win to me.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
2.40
+EV
+44.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN