Norwich vs QPR Prediction

Canaries Can't Score, QPR Solid on the Road

Preview

Ag man, this one looks like watching paint dry! Norwich are absolutely kak at the moment - sitting dead last in the Championship with only 10 points from 17 games. They haven't won in their last 10 matches, picking up just 2 points from a possible 30. At home, it's even worse - 0% home win rate in their last 5 home games and scoring only 0.4 goals per game at their own ground!

QPR might be sitting mid-table, but they know how to handle themselves away from home. They've won 40% of their last 5 away matches and more importantly, they're solid defensively on the road - conceding only 0.4 goals per away game. That's tighter than a new pair of boots! They've kept clean sheets in 40% of their recent matches, while Norwich haven't kept any in their last 10 games.

Looking at recent results, Norwich managed a 1-1 draw against Oxford United (who are struggling themselves) and got hammered 4-1 by Birmingham. QPR, meanwhile, picked up a decent 3-2 win against Hull City and kept clean sheets against Sheffield United and Swansea on their travels.

The head-to-head shows Norwich have historically done okay against QPR, but current form is what matters, and right now Norwich look more lost than a tourist in Johannesburg without a map. They can't score at home and QPR don't concede away from home - this has "under" written all over it like a cheap tattoo!

Key Points:

  • Norwich haven't won in 10 games (0W-2D-8L)
  • Norwich scoring only 0.4 goals per home game
  • QPR conceding only 0.4 goals per away game
  • Norwich have 0% clean sheet rate in last 10 games
  • QPR have 40% clean sheet rate and solid away form
  • Both teams averaging under 1 goal scored per game recently

This looks like a proper snoozefest, but sometimes those are the best bets! Norwich can't find the net at home, and QPR are tight as a drum away from home. I'm backing this to stay under 2.5 goals - it's like finding a perfect spot for a braai, you just know it's going to work out!

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
2.00
+EV
+30.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN