Norwich vs QPR Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Norwich are in absolute dire straits, mate. Rock bottom of the Championship with just 10 points from 17 games - that's proper relegation form, that is. Their recent record is shocking: 0 wins in their last 10 games, only 2 draws, and 8 losses. They've managed just 6 goals in those 10 matches while letting in 18. At home, it's even worse - they're scoring a pathetic 0.4 goals per game on their own patch!

QPR, on the other hand, are having a decent time of it away from home. They've picked up 40% of their away games recently and, get this, they're only conceding 0.4 goals per away match. That's some proper defensive organisation right there. They've kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 games overall, which is more than can be said for Norwich who haven't kept any!

Looking at the recent results, Norwich got battered 4-1 by Birmingham and lost 3-1 to Ipswich. Their only two draws came against other strugglers in Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday. QPR, meanwhile, had a cracking 3-2 win over Hull City and picked up away wins at Swansea (1-0) and Bristol City (2-1).

The head-to-head suggests these are usually tight affairs - 4 draws in 8 meetings, and Norwich have actually never lost at home to QPR in this sample (1 win, 2 draws). But given the current form, that record means about as much as a chocolate teapot.

Both teams struggle to find the net, and with Norwich barely scoring at home and QPR being solid defensively on the road, this has all the makings of a proper snoozefest. The goal expectancy backs this up - just 1.4 total goals expected in this one.

Key Points:

• Norwich haven't won in 10 games (0W-2D-8L)

• Norwich scoring just 0.4 goals per home game

• QPR conceding only 0.4 goals per away game

• QPR have 40% clean sheet rate recently

• Head-to-head shows tight, low-scoring games

• Both teams struggling for goals consistently

Given the stats, this looks like one to avoid getting too excited about. Norwich can't buy a goal at home, and QPR are decent on the road. The value has to be with goals being at a premium here.