Preview
PajimonRight, so we've got Campobasso FC hosting Perugia here in Serie C Girone B, and let me tell you, this one's got the smell of a braai on it. Campobasso FC are at home, and that's where the meat is.
The numbers don't lie, and I don't mean to be rude, but they really don't. Over their last 20 home games, Campobasso FC have won 9, drawn 7 and lost just 4, racking up 1.7 points per game. They've scored 1.4 goals per game at home and kept clean sheets in 7 of those 20. Now flip that around to Perugia's away record over 20 games: 5 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses, 1.1 points per game, and they've failed to score in 6 of those 20 away trips. That's a gap that makes you want to reach for the beer.
And the head-to-head at this very ground? Within the last 12 months, Campobasso FC won 1-0 here on 13 December 2025. And in the other recent meeting, at Perugia's ground on 18 April 2026, Campobasso FC won again, 1-0. Two meetings, two wins for the side hosting this fixture. The older games go back further — a 2-1 at Campobasso's ground in April 2025 and a 2-1 for Perugia at their own ground in December 2024 — but those are historical, and I'm not building a case on old bones.
Now, I'll be fair and give Perugia their due. They've won 2 of their last 5, including a 3-1 away at Gubbio on 3 October and a 1-0 at home against Reggiana on 27 September. But the other three? 0-2 at home to Vado with a red card in the 6th minute, 0-2 at Grosseto with another red in the 60th, and 0-3 at home to Spezia. Three losses, three times they failed to score. That's a team that's been pinned to the post, brother. And their away record over 20 games — 5 wins, 8 losses — tells you they struggle on the road.
Campobasso FC's own recent form is a bit of a mixed bag. They lost 1-3 at Ravenna on 11 October, drew 1-1 at home to Torres on 4 October, won 2-1 away at Sambenedettese on 26 September, and drew 2-2 twice — at home to Pineto and away at Grosseto. One win, three draws, one loss. But here's the thing: they've scored in every single one of those five games, and both teams have scored in all five. The goals are there. They've scored 8 in 5 games, 1.6 per game. And at home over 20 games, they've failed to score in only 3 of 20.
The counter-argument is real though. Campobasso FC lost their last game, and three of their last five have been draws. They haven't won at home in their last two home games — the 1-1 with Torres and the 2-2 with Pineto. And Perugia, despite the poor run, did pick up 3-1 away at Gubbio two weeks ago, so they're not without a spark. Plus, two red cards in Perugia's last five games mean they've been playing with 10 men in two of those matches, which distorts the picture a bit.
But when you stack it all up — the home record, the away record, the head-to-head at this ground, the scoring numbers — the weight of evidence points one way. Campobasso FC at home against a Perugia side that's failed to score in 3 of their last 5 and 6 of their last 20 away games. That's a team that's been quiet on the road.
Key Points:
- Campobasso FC's home record: 9W 7D 4L over 20 games, 1.4 goals scored per game
- Perugia's away record: 5W 7D 8L over 20 games, failed to score in 6 of 20
- Head-to-head at this venue (recent): Campobasso FC won 1-0 on 13 December 2025
- Campobasso FC have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches; Perugia failed to score in 3 of 5; BTTS yes in all 5 of Campobasso's games
My verdict: Campobasso FC home win.