Cavese vs Casarano Prediction

Cavese at home, a force to be reckoned with, they are. Nine wins in their last twenty home games, that is, with 1.65 points per game and a defence that concedes just 0.85 per match. Eight clean sheets in those twenty home fixtures, that is. And Casarano on the road? Six wins, four draws, ten losses in their last twenty away games. 1.1 points per game, and they fail to score in eight of those twenty. The numbers do not lie, they do not.

Look at the visitors' recent form, and a sad tale it tells. One win, two draws, two losses in their last five. Two goals scored in five matches. Three of those five, they failed to score at all. Under 2.5 goals in every single one of those five games. A drought, it is. At Sorrento's ground on 3 October, they were beaten 0–2. At home to SS Monopoli on 27 September, 0–1. The red card in that match, minute 52, did not help their cause, it did not.

Cavese, meanwhile, have shown their teeth at home. A 2–0 over Casertana on 3 October, a 4–2 over Savoia on 26 September. Eleven goals scored in their last five matches, two per game and more. They have not failed to score in any of those five. The red card against Sorrento on 15 September, minute 45, cost them a 2–3 defeat, but the two home wins since show they can still find the back of the net.

Now, the head-to-head, it is thin. One meeting within the last twelve months: a 1–1 at Cavese's ground on 31 January. The older meetings — a 3–0 and a 2–1 for Cavese at home, a 3–0 for Casarano away — are historical record, not current form. So we lean on what is fresh, we do.

The counter-argument, there is one. Cavese's last five are not all sunshine. Two losses, one draw. The Sorrento defeat at home, the 2–4 at Potenza away. And the market prices Cavese at 2.47, which suggests the bookmakers see a closer game than the home-and-away records do. Casarano did score in their last away meeting with Savoia, and their away record, while poor, is not without some positive results.

But the weight of evidence, it favours the home side. Cavese's home record is the stronger of the two sides on most measures in the comparison table. Casarano's recent scoring drought is severe. The visitors have scored just two goals in five matches.

Key Points:

• Cavese: 9W 6D 5L in 20 home games, 1.4 goals scored per game, 0.85 conceded per game

• Casarano: 6W 4D 10L in 20 away games, 1.2 goals scored per game, 1.35 conceded per game

• Casarano scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 3 of them

• Only 1 recent head-to-head meeting (1–1 draw at Cavese's ground, 31 January 2026)

• Cavese won both of their last two home games (2–0, 4–2)

The wise choice, I say, is the home win. Cavese at home, with their scoring form and a Casarano side that cannot find the net, the path is clear.