Chaves vs FC Porto B Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Chaves against Porto B - and blimey, there's a proper gulf between these two in the league table. Chaves are sitting comfy in 8th with 13 points, while Porto B are propping up the whole damn table with just 5 points from 9 games. That's not just bad, that's relegation-form bad.

Now, Chaves haven't been exactly setting the world on fire recently - they've lost their last two league games, going down 2-1 to Leiria and 1-0 to Viseu. But before that little blip, they were ticking along nicely with wins against Vizela (1-0), Farense (2-0), and Penafiel (2-0). They're averaging 1.2 goals per game and only letting in 0.9, which is decent enough at this level.

Porto B though? They're having an absolute shocker, especially on their travels. Away from home, they've got a record that would make your eyes water - 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 away games. They're only managing to score 0.4 goals per game away but are shipping 1.8 at the other end. That's not just struggling, that's getting battered every other week.

Here's the killer stat though - Chaves have NEVER lost to Porto B in 7 meetings. That's 4 wins and 3 draws for the lads from Chaves. Last time they met, Chaves won 2-1, and usually both teams get on the scoresheet in this fixture.

The odds have Chaves at 1.67 for the home win, which seems about right given the massive quality gap. Porto B's away form is so poor that they're lucky to be getting odds as long as 4.75 for an away win.

Look, Chaves have had a couple of dodgy results lately, but Porto B are absolute garbage away from home. They can't score and they can't defend. I reckon Chaves will have too much quality here and should get the job done.