Celtic vs Falkirk Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Celtic are sitting pretty in second spot, but let me tell you, their recent form's been a bit hit and miss. They've lost three of their last six games, including a proper 3-1 thumping by Hearts and a shock 0-2 defeat at Dundee. Not exactly the form of title contenders, is it?

Falkirk, on the other hand, have been plugging away nicely. Sixth in the table with some decent results lately - beat Dundee 2-1, nicked a 2-1 win at Motherwell, and even held Rangers to a 1-1 draw. They're not mugs, this Falkirk side.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. These two have met three times recently, and Celtic have won all three. But here's the stat that catches my eye - every single one of those games had over 2.5 goals. That 4-1 Celtic win back in August tells a story.

Looking at the numbers, Falkirk are leaking goals for fun away from home - 2.2 per game on their travels. Celtic aren't exactly solid at the back either, conceding 1.2 per game. But both sides know where the net is, averaging 1.3 goals scored each.

Celtic's home form? Well, it's 50% wins recently. Not exactly fortress-like, is it? Falkirk's away form is surprisingly decent too - 40% win rate on the road.

The bookies have Celtic at 1.17, which is just daft given their patchy form. But I'm seeing value elsewhere. Both teams to score at 1.95 looks tasty to me. Falkirk score in 80% of their recent games, Celtic concede in 70% of theirs. Do the maths - that's a proper goal fest waiting to happen.