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The records point in one direction: Newcastle Jets are the stronger side in this fixture. Their away record over the last 20 games is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.75 points per game and scoring 2 goals per match while conceding 1.7. Central Coast Mariners at home over 20 games manage 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses, averaging 1.05 points per game and scoring 1.35 while conceding 1.65. The gap in points per game and goals scored is substantial, and Newcastle Jets also outscore Central Coast in their latest 10 games (1.7 per game to 1.1) and earn more points per game over that stretch (1.0 to 0.7).
The head-to-head at Central Coast's ground in the last 12 months adds a layer of nuance. Central Coast won 3–2 in October 2025 and the February 2026 meeting at the same venue ended 0–0. That gives the home side 1 win and 1 draw from 2 recent meetings here. The most recent meeting overall, in April 2026 at Newcastle's ground, was a 4–0 Newcastle Jets victory. The older meetings at both venues are historical record and do not carry the same weight as the recent form.
The strongest counter-argument is that both teams are in poor recent shape. Central Coast Mariners have lost their last two matches, scoring just 2 and conceding 4, and sit at 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last five. Newcastle Jets have lost their last three, conceding 13 goals in that stretch, and are winless in their last five (0W 2D 3L). The 20-game home and away records span 14 and 16 months respectively, meaning older results dilute the picture. The head-to-head at this venue is limited to just two meetings, and one of them was a 0–0 draw. Newcastle Jets did score in all five of their last five matches, but they conceded 15 goals in that stretch, which suggests their defence is vulnerable.
Key Points:
- Newcastle Jets' away record (10W 5D 5L, 1.75 PPG) outperforms Central Coast's home record (4W 9D 7L, 1.05 PPG) by a wide margin.
- Both teams are in poor recent form: Central Coast lost their last two, Newcastle Jets lost their last three.
- At this venue in the last 12 months, Central Coast have 1 win and 1 draw from 2 meetings.
- Newcastle Jets scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Central Coast failed to score in 2 of 5.
- The 20-game venue records span 14 to 16 months, so older results dilute current form.
The records favour Newcastle Jets, but the recent form of both sides and the limited head-to-head at this venue make the outcome less certain than the 20-game aggregates suggest. No Bet.
