Chapecoense-sc vs Operario-PR Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Brazilian Serie B clash. Chapecoense are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 54 points, while Operario-PR are languishing down in 13th with just 42 points. There's a proper gulf between these two sides, and it shows in their recent form.

Chape have been solid as a rock lately - only one loss in their last ten games, picking up 5 wins and 4 draws. They're averaging 1.90 points per game during this run, which is promotion form alright. They've been banging in 1.3 goals per game while keeping it tight at the back with just 0.9 conceded. Their recent 3-1 win away at Goias shows they can turn up anywhere.

Operario, on the other hand, are struggling something rotten. They've managed just 3 wins from their last ten, and their away form is absolutely shocking - zero wins in their last ten away matches. They're barely scoring on the road (0.5 goals per game) and shipping 1.5 goals per game away from home. That 3-0 thumping at Novorizontino and 4-1 home loss to Athletic Club tells you all you need to know about their current state.

Now, I know what you're thinking - the head-to-head actually favors Operario with 4 wins to Chapecoense's 2. But football's about current form, not ancient history. Chape won the last meeting 2-1, and they're a completely different beast now compared to back then.

The stats paint a clear picture: Chape are pushing for the top flight, averaging 1.25 goals expected at home, while Operario can't buy a win on the road. The home side might only average 1 goal per game at their place, but against this leaky Operario defence, they should find the net.

Key Points:

• Chapecoense in excellent form with just 1 loss in 10 games

• Operario have dreadful away form - 0 wins in last 10 away matches

• Massive 12-point gap between the teams in the league table

• Chape averaging 1.90 points per game vs Operario's 1.20

• Home advantage crucial with Chape's solid home record

Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet. Chapecoense are in form, at home, against a team that can't win on the road. The odds of 2.10 look decent value for a home side pushing for promotion.