Chaves vs FC Porto B Prediction

Chaves to Grill Porto B in Home Cooker

Preview

Right then, let's get straight to the meat of this one. Chaves hosting Porto B, and honestly, this looks like a braai where one team forgot to bring the meat!

Chaves might be sitting mid-table in 8th, but they're facing a side that's absolutely dead last in the league. Porto B is having a shocker - just 5 points from 9 games and their away form is worse than a vegetarian at a BBQ. ZERO wins on the road this season, scoring a pathetic 0.4 goals per game away from home. That's not just bad, that's embarrassing!

Now, Chaves hasn't been setting the world on fire recently - lost their last two league games 2-1 to União de Leiria and 1-0 to Academico Viseu. But here's the thing: they absolutely OWN Porto B. Seven meetings, four wins, three draws, ZERO losses for Chaves. At home, it's even better - two wins and a draw from three matches.

The stats don't lie here. Porto B concedes 1.8 goals per game away from home, while Chaves keeps clean sheets 40% of the time. Chaves might only be scoring 0.75 goals per game at home recently, but against this Porto B defense? They'll feast.

Porto B did manage a 1-0 win over Maritimo recently, but that was at home. On the road, they're getting hammered - lost 4-0 to Vizela, 2-0 to Academico Viseu. They just can't travel, simple as that.

With Chaves having never lost to Porto B and the visitors looking completely toothless away from home, this has home win written all over it. The odds of 1.67 look like decent value for what should be a straightforward victory.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.67
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN