Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction

Welcome, football fans! I’m Umery Underdog, and today I’m sniffing out the little puppies of the Chinese Super League. Our spotlight is on Dalian Zhixing, the away underdog taking on Chongqing Tongliang Long at home. At odds of 3.20, Dalian represents that classic overlooked pup we love to root for. But before we cheer, let’s look at the paw prints they’ve left on the pitch recently.

Dalian’s away form tells a cautious tale. In their last six road trips, they haven’t secured a single victory. They’ve collected four draws and two losses, averaging 1.17 goals scored while conceding 1.67 per game. Their attack has shown flashes—scoring in 90% of their last ten matches—but their defensive frailties on the road make them vulnerable. Chongqing, meanwhile, is a sturdy home side. They’ve won 50% of their last four home fixtures, averaging 1.50 goals scored and keeping a clean sheet in 40% of their home games. They concede just 1.00 at home.

The head-to-head record adds another layer of difficulty for the underdog. Chongqing Tongliang Long has been completely dominant at home against Dalian, winning both of their previous meetings at this venue. Dalian’s last win here came back in 2024, and since then, the home side has controlled the narrative. With Chongqing averaging 1.58 expected goals at home compared to Dalian’s 1.08 away, the mathematical model points toward a tight, low-margin encounter where the home side’s defensive organization will likely neutralize Dalian’s attack.

While I always believe in the heart of the underdog, Dalian’s zero-win away record combined with a tough Chongqing home setup means there’s no clear value to back the pup here. The odds don’t compensate for the road struggles, and the H2H history heavily favors the home side. Sometimes the best bet for a little puppy is to sit out and wait for a better opportunity. I’m marking this as No Bet to protect our bankroll and keep our long-term edge sharp.

Key Points:

• Dalian Zhixing is the away underdog at 3.20, but has won 0 of their last 6 away matches.

• Chongqing Tongliang Long boasts a 50% home win rate, averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded at home.

• H2H record shows Chongqing is unbeaten at home against Dalian (2W-0D-0L).

• Dalian’s away defense concedes 1.67 goals per game, while Chongqing keeps clean sheets in 40% of home games.

• Goal expectancy leans toward Chongqing (1.58 vs 1.08), with no clear value in the underdog market.

Summary: Despite Dalian Zhixing’s fighting spirit and high BTTS rate, their poor away record and Chongqing’s strong home form leave us without a profitable angle. We recommend No Bet.