Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC Prediction

Right, so we've got Club Queretaro hosting Atlante FC in Liga MX, and I'll be honest with you – the numbers here are telling a pretty clear story, and it's not one that favours the visitors.

Club Queretaro have been absolutely cooking. Three wins in their last five, and all three of those came on the road – 2–0 at Guadalajara Chivas on 26 September, 1–0 at Club Tijuana on 12 September, and 3–1 at Atlas on 29 August. That's eight goals scored and just four conceded across those five games, and they haven't failed to score in a single one. Their home record over 20 games backs that up: 8 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses, 1.5 points per game, and they've kept 5 clean sheets. In their latest 10 across all venues, they're averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, which is solid.

Now look at Atlante FC on the road. Over 20 away games, they've managed 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses – 0.95 points per game. They concede 1.65 per game on the road and have only kept 3 clean sheets in 20. In their latest 10, they're averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. That's a team that struggles to put goals on the board away from home and leaks goals like a bucket with a hole in it.

The counter-argument, and I'll give them credit for it, is that Atlante FC beat Monterrey 4–2 at home on 26 September. That's a big result, and they've drawn three of their last five, which shows they can grind out a point even when things go wrong – like that 0–3 loss to Pachuca on 12 September. But that Monterrey win was at home, and their away numbers don't back up any kind of confidence on the road. Also, there's no head-to-head record between these two, so we're flying blind on that front.

The matchup tables make it even clearer. Queretaro's home points per game (1.5) sit well above Atlante's away figure (0.95). Queretaro concede 1.2 per game at home versus Atlante's 1.65 away. Queretaro score 1.4 at home while Atlante score 1.4 away, so the attack is level, but the defensive edge tilts firmly to the hosts. In the latest 10, Queretaro have 4 wins to Atlante's 2, and their conceded-per-game figure of 1.2 is a full half a goal better than Atlante's 1.7.

Key Points:

• Club Queretaro won 3 of their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4, with 2 clean sheets

• Atlante FC's away record is 4W 7D 9L over 20 games, 0.95 points per game

• Queretaro's home record: 8W 6D 6L, 1.5 ppg, 1.2 conceded per game

• Atlante FC beat Monterrey 4–2 at home on 26 September but have drawn 3 of their last 5

• No head-to-head meetings on record between the two sides

In the end, the football points firmly to Club Queretaro, but the available prices could not be used for a recommendation, so this one is a No Bet.

No Bet.