Club Tijuana vs Toluca Prediction

Toluca's Title Charge Continues at Tijuana

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! Top of the table Toluca roll into Tijuana looking to keep their brilliant run going, and blimey, what a run it's been!

Toluca are absolutely flying, mate. They're sitting pretty at the top of Liga MX with 31 points, and get this - they haven't lost a single game in their last 10 matches! Eight wins and two draws, scoring for fun with 2.8 goals per game while keeping it tight at the back with just 0.8 conceded. Their away form is even more impressive - 100% win rate on the road! They've been battering teams left and right: 4-0 against Queretaro, 6-2 against Monterrey, 3-0 at Chivas. This is a team that's absolutely brimming with confidence.

Club Tijuana, on the other hand, are a bit of a mixed bag. They're sitting mid-table in 7th with 20 points, and while they can be brilliant at home (scoring 3 goals per game on their own patch), they've been inconsistent lately. They had a cracking 5-0 win over Leon and beat Cruz Azul 2-0, but then went and lost 4-3 to bottom-of-the-table Puebla in their last game. That's the sort of defensive lapse that'll have you tearing your hair out!

When these two have met, it's been Toluca who've had the bragging rights. They've won 5 of the 9 meetings, and the last three encounters have all gone Toluca's way - including a 4-2 thumping earlier this year. Tijuana just haven't found an answer to Toluca's attacking threat.

The stats back up what we're seeing on the pitch. Toluca take more shots, have better accuracy, and keep the ball better than Tijuana. They're just a well-oiled machine at the moment.

Look, Tijuana at home can be dangerous with their 3 goals per game average, but Toluca's form is just too good to ignore. They're winning everywhere they go, and their confidence must be through the roof. At 1.95 for the away win, that looks like proper value to me.

Key Points:

• Toluca are unbeaten in 10 games (8W, 2D) and sit top of Liga MX

• Toluca have a 100% away win rate this season

• Tijuana are inconsistent, recently losing 4-3 to bottom side Puebla

• Toluca have won the last 3 H2H meetings, including 4-2 earlier this year

• Toluca average 2.8 goals per game vs Tijuana's 2.3

The Verdict: Toluca's form is simply too strong to ignore. They're playing like a team destined for the title, and their perfect away record speaks for itself. Tijuana might score, but I fancy Toluca to have too much quality and momentum here. The away win gets my vote.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.95
+EV
+26.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN