Preview
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceMay the form be with you, friends. And in this case, the form points firmly to Colorado Rapids' home ground.
Over 20 home games, Colorado Rapids have won 11, drawn 5 and lost 4, averaging 1.9 points per game. They concede just one goal per game at home and keep a clean sheet in 9 of those 20. Minnesota United FC, by contrast, have won only 5 of their 20 away games, drawn 5 and lost 10, averaging a single point per game and conceding two per outing. The gap between these two records is the story of this fixture.
The recent form sharpens the picture further. Minnesota United FC have won none of their last five matches — one draw and four defeats — conceding 14 goals in that span. Their points per game over those five is 0.2. Colorado Rapids, while not without their own struggles (two draws and a loss in their last three), sit comfortably within their home record. The head-to-head within the last 12 months tells a simple story: Colorado Rapids travelled to Minnesota United FC's ground on 14 May and won 1–0. That is the only recent meeting between these two sides, and it was the visitors who took the points.
Now, the wise one must also see the other side of the coin. Minnesota United FC score in every match they play — five of five in their last five, ten of ten in their last ten. They average 2.2 goals per game over that stretch and have not failed to score in 10 consecutive matches. Colorado Rapids, meanwhile, have drawn two of their last three and lost one, and their home BTTS record shows 11 of 20 games where at least one side failed to score. The market prices Colorado Rapids' win at 2.2, implying a 45.45% chance, but the home record and Minnesota United FC's away struggles suggest the Rapids are more likely to take all three points than that price reflects.
Key Points:
- Colorado Rapids: 11W 5D 4L at home over 20 games, 1.9 points per game, 1 goal conceded per game, 9 clean sheets
- Minnesota United FC: 5W 5D 10L away over 20 games, 0 wins in their last 5 matches, 2.8 goals conceded per game
- Head-to-head in last 12 months: Colorado Rapids won 1–0 at Minnesota United FC's ground on 14 May
- Minnesota United FC have scored in 10 of their last 10 matches but have lost 6 of those 10
- Colorado Rapids' home defence: 9 clean sheets in 20 games, xG against of 0.69 per game in recent matches
The verdict: home win. Colorado Rapids at home, against a Minnesota United FC side that has not won in five matches and concedes two per game on the road — the wise choice is the Rapids' victory. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but in this case, the try is well worth the odds.