Como vs Sassuolo Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie A clash between Como and Sassuolo. And blimey, if you're looking for a team in form, Como are your boys!

These lads from Como are absolutely flying this season. Ten games played, not a single loss - five wins and five draws. That's the kind of consistency that gets you places, and it's got them sitting pretty in 6th spot with 21 points. Their defensive record is something else too - only five goals conceded in ten matches. That's half a goal per game, which is proper top-drawer stuff.

Just look at their recent results. They've just gone and battered Torino 5-1 away from home! They've held Napoli to a goalless draw, beaten Juventus 2-0 at home, and even managed a point against Atalanta. This team doesn't know when it's beaten.

Sassuolo, on the other hand, are a bit of a mixed bag. Three wins, two draws, and five losses in their last ten tells its own story. They're conceding more goals than they're scoring, and away from home they're winning just a third of their games. They did have a decent 3-0 win at Atalanta recently, but then followed it up with a 2-2 draw at home to Pisa, who are struggling near the bottom.

Here's the kicker though - these two already met this season in the Coppa Italia back in September. Como gave Sassuolo an absolute hiding, 3-0 at home. And looking at how both teams are playing, I don't see much changing this time around.

The stats back it up all day long. Como are averaging 1.8 goals at home while only letting in 0.4. Sassuolo away are scoring 1.33 but conceding 1.5. Como have more possession, more shots on target, and better accuracy. They're just the better team in every department right now.

With Como's unbeaten run, their rock-solid defence, home advantage, and the fact they already put three past Sassuolo this season, this looks pretty straightforward to me. Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet!

Key Points:

• Como unbeaten in 10 games (5 wins, 5 draws)

• Como have best defensive record in recent form (5 goals conceded in 10 games)

• Como beat Sassuolo 3-0 in Coppa Italia earlier this season

• Como just smashed Torino 5-1 away from home

• Sassuolo struggling away from home (33% win rate)

• Como sitting 6th vs Sassuolo 9th in Serie A table

Summary:

Como are flying high and look far too strong for a Sassuolo side that's inconsistent on their travels. The home side's defensive record is outstanding, they've already beaten Sassuolo convincingly this season, and their unbeaten run shows they're made of stern stuff. At 1.62, the home win looks like solid value to me.