Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari Prediction

Right, so we've got Corvinul Hunedoara hosting FC Voluntari on 9 October, and if you've been following the form, the home side are the ones to fancy. Corvinul have won their last two — a 2-0 friendly against Viitorul Şelimbăr at home and a 3-2 away win at Oţelul — and in those two games they've scored five and conceded just two. That's a side with its head up and its back door locked.

Now look at Voluntari. They've lost their last two, and it's been ugly: 0-2 at home to Universitatea Cluj and 1-2 away to Rapid. In those two games they've managed a single goal and conceded four. Their away record over 20 games tells the same story — 10 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses, and 1.4 conceded per game. That's a lot of goals leaking out on the road, mate.

The head-to-head at this ground is in Corvinul's favour. In the last 12 months, they've been unbeaten here: a 2-0 win in May and a 0-0 draw in November. Voluntari did grab a 1-0 at their own end of town in April, but that's the reverse fixture. At Corvinul's ground, the home side have the edge.

Now, I'll give Voluntari credit where it's due. They're not dead. They won 1-0 at home to Arges Pitesti and 1-0 away at Chindia Targoviste in September, and over their last 10 games they've picked up 4 wins. They've scored in 8 of those 10, so they're not a side that just parks the bus and waits for the clock to run out. The market has them at 5.00 for an away win, which means there's a slim chance they pull off a shock.

But the weight of evidence points firmly to Corvinul. Their home record over 20 games is 11 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses, with 0.55 conceded per game and 11 clean sheets. Voluntari's away record is 10 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses, with 1.4 conceded per game. The gap in defensive solidity at this venue is the biggest talking point. The market prices Corvinul at 1.68, which implies about 59.5% chance. I'd put their actual chance a touch higher, around 65%, given the form gap and the home numbers.

Key Points:

• Corvinul won their last 2 (scored 5, conceded 2); Voluntari lost their last 2 (scored 1, conceded 4)

• Corvinul home record: 11W 7D 2L in 20 games, 0.55 conceded per game, 11 clean sheets

• Voluntari away record: 10W 2D 8L in 20 games, 1.4 conceded per game

• H2H at this venue in the last 12 months: Corvinul unbeaten (1W 1D)

• Market has Corvinul at 1.68 (59.52% implied); I rate their chance closer to 65%

So there you have it — I'm going with the Corvinul Hunedoara home win.