Preview
PajimonLook, my man, I'll be straight with you — this one's got me a bit conflicted, but the numbers don't lie when it comes to Cosenza at home. Over their last 20 home games, from late October 2025 through to 4 October this year, Cosenza have won 13, drawn 2 and lost 5. That's 2.05 points per game, and they've scored 1.55 a game while conceding just 1.05. Eight clean sheets in 20 home games. That's a team that knows how to handle business at home, and the results back it up.
Now, Team Altamura on the road? Not so impressive, boet. Over 20 away games from October 2025 to 4 October 2026, they've won 6, drawn 5 and lost 9. That's 1.15 points per game, and they've only managed 0.6 goals a game on the road. Ten of those 20 away games ended with them failing to score at all. That's a team that struggles to find the back of the net when they're playing away from home.
The head-to-head at this venue tells a simple story. On 8 March 2026, Cosenza beat Team Altamura 1-0 at their own ground. The reverse fixture at Team Altamura's ground on 1 November 2025 was a 1-1 draw. So Cosenza have the edge at this venue, and it's been a low-scoring affair.
But here's where it gets tricky, and I'll be honest. Cosenza's recent form across all venues is not pretty. In their last 10 games, they've won just 1, drawn 2 and lost 7. They lost 0-2 at home to Foggia on 4 October, lost 0-1 at Bari on 26 September, and got hammered 2-5 at Giugliano on 15 September. The only win in that stretch was the 2-1 at AZ Picerno on 12 October. So the home record is strong, but the recent form is telling you something is off.
Team Altamura aren't exactly flying either. Their last 5 games: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses. They lost 0-3 at home to Catania on 11 October, and they failed to score in 4 of those 5 games. Their last 10 across all venues: 2 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses.
So you've got two teams in poor recent form, but Cosenza's home record is genuinely strong and Team Altamura's away record is weak. The H2H at this venue was a 1-0 Cosenza win. I think the home record and the venue edge tip this one Cosenza's way, but I'm not going to pretend the recent form isn't a concern.
Key Points:
- Cosenza's home record over 20 games: 13W 2D 5L, 2.05 ppg, 1.55 goals scored per game
- Team Altamura's away record over 20 games: 6W 5D 9L, 0.6 goals scored per game, 10/20 failed to score
- H2H at Cosenza's ground: 1-0 Cosenza win (8 March 2026)
- Cosenza's last 10 all venues: 1W 2D 7L; Team Altamura's last 10: 2W 3D 5L
- Both teams failed to score in multiple recent games; H2H at this venue was low-scoring
Verdict: I'm going with the Cosenza home win. The home record is too strong to ignore, and Team Altamura's away form doesn't give me any reason to back them. At 2.65, the market is being cautious about Cosenza's recent form, but I think the home record and the venue edge are worth more than the last five games suggest.