Crawley Town vs Chesterfield Prediction

Right, so we've got Crawley Town at home to Chesterfield on 10 October, and if I'm being honest, this one's got a pretty clear shape to it.

Chesterfield are flying. Three wins from their last five, and the way they've been scoring is something else. Four to two against Tranmere on 3 October, two to zero against York on 19 September, and a five-three hammering of Manchester City U21 on 15 September. In their last ten games across all venues, they've won five, drawn three and lost just two, scoring 21 goals at 2.1 a game. That's a team that's got the confidence and the edge.

And here's the kicker — their away record over the last 20 games is 8 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses. That's 1.5 points per game on the road, and they've failed to score in only 3 of those 20. So when they travel, they still put the ball in the net.

Now look at Crawley Town. Four losses from their last five. They lost 1-3 to Cheltenham at home on 12 September, 0-2 to Grimsby on 19 September, and 2-3 to Accrington ST on 5 September. In their last ten games, they've won just two, drawn one and lost seven. At home over 20 games, the record is 3 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses — 0.85 points per game. That's not a team that's got the confidence to go out and win.

The head-to-head is a bit thin on recent meetings. The only one within the last 12 months was a 1-1 draw at Crawley's ground back in February. The older meetings go back 11 years, so I'm not going to lean on those. What I will say is that in that one recent meeting, it was a tight affair, and the older games show both sides have had their days.

Now, the counter-argument. Crawley Town did smash Bromley 4-0 at home on 6 October, and that's their current run — one win, four goals, zero conceded. So they've got a bit of momentum heading into this. And that 1-1 draw in February showed they can hold their own against Chesterfield. Plus, Chesterfield did lose 1-2 to Cheltenham away on 26 September, so they're not untouchable on the road.

But here's the thing — that 4-0 was in the EFL Trophy, and the rest of Crawley's recent games have been a nightmare. The 4-0 is a blip, not a trend. The 1-3, 0-2 and 2-3 losses are the real story.

Key Points:

• Chesterfield have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 13 goals at 2.6 per game

• Chesterfield's away record: 8W 6D 6L in 20 games, 1.5 points per game

• Crawley Town have lost 4 of their last 5, with a home record of 3W 8D 9L in 20 games

• The only recent head-to-head meeting (February 2026) ended 1-1 at Crawley's ground

• Chesterfield have failed to score in only 3 of their last 20 away games

My verdict: Chesterfield away win at 1.72. The form gap is too big to ignore, and the away record backs it up.