Crawley Town vs Chesterfield Prediction

Dark Times for Crawley, Strong the Force is with Chesterfield

Preview

Difficult to see, the future always is. But patterns in the force, clear they become when data examine we do. Between the relegation strugglers and the playoff chasers, a gulf exists. Twenty-first in League Two, Crawley Town are. Six wins from thirty-three matches, their record shows. Dark times at home, these are.

Recent results, examine we must. Against Tranmere - weak in form with but 0.60 points per game - defeated 2-0 they were on February 14th. Concerning, this is. Against Cambridge United (2.20 PPG), 3-0 the loss was. Against Milton Keynes Dons (1.90 PPG), a 0-0 draw they managed - resilient, that was. But against Harrogate Town (0.20 PPG), a 2-0 victory came. Against weak opponents only, success they find.

Chesterfield, sixth in the league, a different path walk they do. Thirteen wins and thirteen draws, their record shows. Unbeaten in five matches, they are. Salford City (2.40 PPG) defeated 1-0 away, they did. Bromley (2.70 PPG) held to a 0-0 draw at home. Even in defeat to Newport County (0.60 PPG), lessons learned they have. Away from home, scoring 1.60 goals per game, the visitors do. At home, but 0.75 goals, Crawley manage.

Head to head, advantage Chesterfield has. Two wins to one in five meetings, the record shows. Last August, a 2-2 draw it was, but form since then, diverged it has. The trend lines speak: improving, Chesterfield are. Declining, Crawley are.

Key Points:

  • Relegation zone, Crawley inhabit (21st place, 27 points from 33 games)
  • Playoff position, Chesterfield hold (6th place, 52 points from 32 games)
  • Four clean sheets in ten, Crawley have kept, but scored only five goals in that time
  • Away from home, Chesterfield stronger they are (40% win rate vs 25% home win rate for Crawley)
  • Goal expectancy, favor the visitors it does (1.55 to 1.07)

Summary:

Value in the away win, I sense. Odds of 2.25, generous they are for a team so superior in standing and recent form. Do or do not, there is no try. Away win, the wise choice is.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.25
+EV
+12.5%
Estimated Chance50%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN