CRB host Londrina at their ground on 24 October, and the numbers tell a story that is, well, a bit like the Force — it pulls you one way, but the recent form whispers a different tale.
The case for CRB is written in the home record. Over 20 home games, CRB have won 10, drawn 4 and lost 6, averaging 1.7 points per game. They score 1.8 goals per game at home and concede 1.15. Set that against Londrina's away record — 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in 20 away games, 0.85 points per game, 1 goal scored and 1.45 conceded — and the gap is stark. CRB are the stronger side at this venue on most measures in the matchup table. The old Yoda wisdom says: "The more you know, the less you need to guess." And here, the record knows.
And yet. The last five games tell a different story. CRB sit at 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, and their most recent home outing was a 0–1 defeat to Botafogo SP on 18 October. Londrina, meanwhile, are 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last five, though they did pick up a 1–0 win at home against Cuiaba on 20 October. The form is not clean on either side. A strong record is not a guarantee, you see. The past is a teacher, but the present is the exam.
The head-to-head at this venue is interesting. In the two older meetings at CRB's ground — going back to 2022 — CRB won both. But the only meeting within the last 12 months was at Londrina's ground on 4 July 2026, and Londrina won 5–0. That is a recent result that cannot be ignored, even if it was on the reverse venue. The full head-to-head spans 15 games over 10 years, with CRB winning 7, Londrina 6 and 2 draws, but those older games dilute the current picture.
The market prices CRB at 1.42 for a win, which carries a bookmaker-implied probability of 70.42%. The home record and the away record of Londrina both point strongly in CRB's direction. But the mixed recent form — CRB losing their last home game, Londrina struggling on the road with 11 losses in 20 away outings — keeps this from being a clean pick. The price asks for a level of certainty that the last five games do not quite deliver. The other markets — over 2.5 at 1.57, both teams to score at 1.8 — do not offer a clear edge from the numbers shown either.
Key Points:
- CRB's home record: 10W 4D 6L in 20 games, 1.8 goals scored per game
- Londrina's away record: 4W 5D 11L in 20 games, 1 goal scored per game
- CRB's last 5: 2W 1D 2L, including a 0–1 home loss on 18 October
- Londrina's last 5: 1W 1D 3L, including a 1–0 home win on 20 October
- Recent H2H (July 2026): Londrina 5–0 CRB at Londrina's ground
The verdict: No Bet. The home win price at 1.42 asks for a level of certainty that the mixed recent form does not quite support, and the other markets do not offer a clear edge from the numbers shown.
