Curzon Ashton vs Buxton Prediction

Right, let's get straight to it. This National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Buxton looks like a classic case of form versus history. Curzon Ashton are sitting 19th in the table with 51 points, while Buxton are comfortably in 9th with 67 points. That 16-point gap tells you a lot about the gulf in performance.

Curzon Ashton have been in a right muddle lately. In their last 10 games, they've only managed one win. Their home form is particularly worrying; they haven't won a single home game in their last four fixtures. They're conceding goals at a rate of 2.30 per game, which is a leaky defence. Their goal expectancy at home is just 0.71, meaning they struggle to find the net.

On the other side, Buxton are flying. They've won 7 of their last 10 games. Their away form is the real story here—they've won 5 of their last 6 away games, an 83.33% win rate. They're scoring 1.90 goals per game on average and have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. The goal expectancy for Buxton away is 1.92, which is more than double what Curzon manage at home.

Looking at the head-to-head, Curzon have a slight historical edge with 3 wins to Buxton's 2 in 6 meetings. But in betting, current form usually trumps history. The odds for an Away Win are 2.00. Given Buxton's 70% win rate in their last 10 games and their dominant away record, there's clear value here. The market is pricing them at 50% chance, but the stats suggest a much higher probability of success.

So, forget the history books and look at the numbers. Buxton are in a different league of form. Curzon are leaking goals and can't score. The value lies with the visitors.

Tip: Buxton to Win.