Lask Linz vs Grazer AK Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table scrap in the Austrian Bundesliga. Lask Linz welcome Grazer AK to town, and honestly, someone's got to win eventually... right?

Lask are sitting in 9th place with a measly 10 points from 10 games. Their recent form's been a bit of a mixed bag - they pulled off a decent 2-0 win at Rapid Vienna a few weeks back, but then followed it up with a 3-3 home draw against Hartberg. At home, they've been proper hit and miss, managing just one win in their last four on their own patch. They do score goals at home though, averaging two per game, but they also let in nearly as many (1.75).

Then you've got Grazer AK. Oh dear. Rock bottom of the table with just 6 points, and here's the killer stat - they haven't won a single game all season. Not one! Their away form is absolutely shocking too - zero wins from their travels and they're only managing to score a quarter of a goal per game away from home. That's not a typo, folks. They did manage a couple of draws recently (0-0 with Hartberg, 0-0 at Ried), but when they lose, they tend to lose heavily - think 5-0 against Salzburg and 3-0 against Sturm Graz.

Now here's where it gets interesting for us punters. The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Lask have won four of the six meetings, and at home? Perfect record - three wins from three games against these lot. Last time they met, Lask nicked it 1-0.

Looking at the stats, Lask are averaging over 13 shots per game compared to Graz's 9, and they're seeing more of the ball (53.6% vs 43.6%). The goal expectancy has Lask scoring around 2.12 goals to Graz's 1.00, which tells its own story really.

The bookies have Lask at 1.67 to win, which seems about right given Lask's patchy home form but Grazer's truly dreadful away record. Sometimes you've got to back against a team that's just that bad on the road, and Grazer AK are definitely that bad.