WSPG Wels vs First Vienna Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-half clash in the Austrian 2. Liga. WSPG Wels are propping up the table in 14th spot with just 8 points from 12 games, while First Vienna are sitting pretty in 10th with 15 points. On paper, there's a clear gulf between these two sides.

Wels have been having a right old time of it lately - and not in a good way. They've managed just one win in their last ten games, and that was a narrow 3-2 victory over Rapid Wien II, who aren't exactly setting the world alight either. Their recent reads like a who's who of struggling: they drew 1-1 with the bottom side Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, got battered 4-3 by Stripfing, and shipped four against Austria Salzburg. The lads just can't keep a clean sheet - zero in their last ten matches! They're averaging 2.1 goals conceded per game, which is proper dodgy.

First Vienna, on the other hand, have been much better on their travels. They've won half of their away games recently, which ain't bad at this level. They put three past SV Kapfenberg and two past Sturm Graz II in their last two away trips. What's really impressive is their away defense - only letting in 0.75 goals per game on the road. They've kept three clean sheets in their last ten, which is three more than Wels have managed!

The stats tell a clear story here. Wels are shipping goals for fun (70% of their games see both teams score), while Vienna are much tighter at the back, especially away from home. Vienna's away form of 50% wins versus Wels' home form of just 20% wins speaks volumes.

Looking at the odds, Vienna at 2.29 looks about right to me. They're the better team, in better form, and have been solid on the road. Wels are struggling badly and look like they might be in for another long afternoon at the office.

Key Points:

• WSPG Wels have won just 1 of their last 10 games (10% win rate)

• First Vienna have won 50% of their recent away games

• Wels have kept 0 clean sheets in 10 games; Vienna have 3

• Vienna concede just 0.75 goals per away game

• Wels are 14th in the table; Vienna are 10th

The Verdict: This looks pretty straightforward to me. First Vienna are the better side with much better away form, and they're up against a Wels team that can't stop conceding goals. Vienna should have too much quality here and get the job done.