RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction
Leipzig Look Too Strong at Home
Preview
Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt. The lads from Leipzig are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 26 points, while Frankfurt are doing alright in 7th with 21 points. But form, as they say, is temporary - class is permanent, and Leipzig are showing plenty of both right now.
Leipzig have been absolutely bossing it recently, mate. Seven wins from their last 10 games, scoring 23 goals and only letting in 8. That's proper attacking football combined with a solid backline. At home, they're unbeaten in their last four - 100% win rate, scoring 2.5 goals per game on their own patch. They've been putting teams to the sword, including that stunning 6-0 hammering of Augsburg and a 3-1 win over Stuttgart. The only slight blip was a 0-0 draw against Gladbach, but even that shows they're hard to break down.
Frankfurt, on the other hand, have been a bit hit and miss. Three wins, five draws, and two losses from their last 10 doesn't exactly set the world alight, does it? They've been scoring less (1.3 per game) and conceding more (1.6 per game). Away from home, they've gone four games without defeat, but three of those were draws - they're not exactly grabbing games by the scruff of the neck on their travels. That 4-3 win against Cologne was decent, but getting battered 3-0 by Atalanta and 5-1 by Liverpool shows they can be vulnerable against quality opposition.
When these two have met in the past, it's usually been a right old goal fest. Seven of their nine previous encounters have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in four of those matches. Leipzig have the edge at home, winning four of their six home meetings against Frankfurt.
Looking at the stats, Leipzig are averaging 16.5 shots per game with 42.5% accuracy, while Frankfurt are only managing 10.9 shots with 37.6% accuracy. The home side are creating more chances and are more clinical in front of goal. Leipzig are also conceding less than half a goal per game at home compared to Frankfurt's 1.5 goals conceded away from home.
The odds have Leipzig as clear favorites at 1.75, and that looks about right to me. Frankfurt's away form might suggest they could nick a point, but Leipzig's home dominance and attacking firepower should be too much. Both teams to score is priced at 1.44, which could be worth a punt given the head-to-head history, but I'm leaning towards a straight home win here.
Leipzig have got momentum, they're scoring for fun at home, and Frankfurt's defense looks leaky on the road. The home side should have enough quality to get the job done and keep pressure on Bayern at the top of the table.