Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar Prediction
Roar's Road Trip Faces Adelaide's Home Fortress
Preview
Right then, let's have a proper look at this A-League clash between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar. On paper, you'd think Brisbane might have the edge sitting pretty in 2nd place, but football's not played on paper, is it?
Adelaide have been a proper Jekyll and Hyde side this season. Away from home, they've been about as useful as a chocolate teapot - not a single win in their last 7 away games. But at home? Blimey, they've been different beasts entirely. Three home games, three wins, and they've been banging them in for fun - 2.67 goals per game on their own patch. They've put four past Melbourne City, two past Western Sydney, and even beat Sydney 2-1. That's some decent scalps right there.
Brisbane, meanwhile, have been solid as a rock overall. Only one loss in 10 games and they've kept clean sheets in 60% of their matches. But here's the thing - their away form tells a different story. Only one win in their last three away trips, and they've been conceding more on the road (1.33 per game) compared to their fortress at home.
When these two have met, it's usually tight as a drum. Eight meetings between them, and four have ended level. The last three encounters? All 1-1 draws. Both teams have found the net in seven of those eight matches, which tells you these games tend to be open affairs.
Adelaide are scoring for fun at home, Brisbane are decent on the road too with 1.67 goals per away game. Given the head-to-head pattern and both teams' attacking tendencies, I reckon we're in for goals from both sides here.
Key Points:
• Adelaide are 100% in their last 3 home games, scoring 2.67 per game
• Brisbane's away form is much weaker than their home record
• Last 3 H2H meetings all ended 1-1
• Both teams have scored in 7 of 8 previous meetings
• Brisbane have kept 60% clean sheets overall but concede more away
The value here looks to be on both teams getting on the scoresheet. Adelaide's home attacking form combined with Brisbane's away scoring record and that H2H pattern of both teams scoring makes this look like a decent punt.