Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction

Dagenham & Redbridge host Hemel Hempstead Town at their ground on 10 October in the National League South, and the numbers point to a tight, low-scoring affair.

The strongest case for Dagenham & Redbridge comes from their home record over the last 20 games at this venue. They have won 12 of those 20, drawing 3 and losing 5, for 1.95 points per game. They average 1.45 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home game, and have kept 11 clean sheets in 20. Their last two home matches were wins: 1-0 against Hampton & Richmond on 26 September and 3-0 against Waltham Abbey on 22 September in the FA Cup.

Hemel Hempstead Town's away record over 20 games is less dominant. They have won 9, drawn 5 and lost 6, for 1.6 points per game, averaging 1.15 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. They have kept 8 clean sheets in 20 away games. Their most recent away result was a 2-0 win at Slough Town on 26 September, though before that they lost 1-2 at Wingate & Finchley and drew 0-0 at Ebbsfleet United.

The head-to-head is thin. Within the last 12 months, the two sides met only once: Hemel Hempstead Town won 1-0 at their ground on 3 January 2026. Older meetings — a 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge win at home in August 2025 and a 3-0 Dagenham & Redbridge win in a 2021 friendly — are historical and do not carry much weight for current form.

The counter-argument to a Dagenham & Redbridge win is their recent form. They lost 1-3 at Brentwood Town on 3 October, just seven days before this fixture, and their last five matches overall show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. Hemel Hempstead Town, meanwhile, have drawn three of their last five matches and kept the scoreline low in four of those five. Their last five games produced only 5 goals for and 4 against, with 4 of the 5 finishing under 2.5 goals. Dagenham & Redbridge's last five also saw 3 of 5 games finish under 2.5.

The scoring data reinforces the low-total picture. Dagenham & Redbridge have finished under 2.5 in 13 of their last 20 home games, and Hemel Hempstead Town in 12 of their last 20 away games. In their latest 10 matches across all venues, both teams have seen under 2.5 in 7 of 10. The combined scoring rates — 1.45 and 0.8 for Dagenham & Redbridge at home, 1.15 and 0.9 for Hemel Hempstead Town away — suggest a total closer to 2 than to 3.

Key Points:

• Dagenham & Redbridge have won 12 of their last 20 home games, averaging 1.45 goals scored and 0.8 conceded

• Hemel Hempstead Town have won 9 of their last 20 away games, averaging 1.15 goals scored and 0.9 conceded

• Dagenham & Redbridge lost 1-3 at Brentwood Town on 3 October; Hemel Hempstead Town won 2-0 at Slough Town on 26 September

• Only one head-to-head meeting within the last 12 months: Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge on 3 January 2026

• Both teams have finished under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches across all venues

The evidence points firmly toward a low-scoring game, but the margin is not wide enough for a confident recommendation. Dagenham & Redbridge's home record is strong, yet their recent form is mixed, and the head-to-head offers no clear edge. The most likely outcome is under 2.5 goals, but the probability does not reach the level of certainty this fixture demands. No Bet.