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Dalian Zhixing arrive at this Super League fixture in the sort of form that makes the underdog's job genuinely difficult. Their last five matches read 4W 1D 0L, with 9 goals scored and just 2 conceded, and their current run is three straight wins (7 scored, 1 conceded). At home over 20 games, the record is 12W 2D 6L at 1.9 points per game, with 1.4 goals scored per game and 1.1 conceded. The most recent meeting between these two sides, back in May at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground, ended 1–1, and the older head-to-head at Dalian Zhixing's ground saw a 2–1 home win. Across all three meetings, Dalian Zhixing have not lost.
Sichuan Jiuniu, by contrast, are in a much more unsettled rhythm. Their last five games are 1W 3D 1L, with 6 scored and 6 conceded, and their current run is two draws (3 scored, 3 conceded). Their away record over 20 games is 4W 3D 13L at 0.75 points per game, with 0.9 goals scored per game and 1.8 conceded. They have not kept a clean sheet in any of those 20 away games. The head-to-head at this venue is thin — there have been no recent meetings at Dalian Zhixing's ground, and the only meeting here (a 2–1 win for Dalian Zhixing in 2025) is historical record only.
The counter-argument for the underdog is the head-to-head itself: two of the three meetings have been draws, and Sichuan Jiuniu's last two games have also been level. Their away record does include 3 draws in 20 games, and the BTTS record across all three meetings is 3/3 yes, though two of those three are historical. Dalian Zhixing's home record does include 2 draws in 20 games, and their BTTS-no count in the last five is 3/5, meaning at least one side has kept a clean sheet in three of their recent matches. There is a thread of level scores here that a patient underdog might latch onto.
But the honest truth is that Dalian Zhixing's current form — three wins in a row, 4W 1D in five, and a home record of 12 wins in 20 — is hard to fade. The football evidence points firmly in the home side's direction, and the underdog prices simply do not offer enough value to justify a recommendation. The draw and the away win both sit below what the results support when you weigh Dalian Zhixing's recent run against Sichuan Jiuniu's 13 losses in 20 away games.
Key Points:
- Dalian Zhixing have won their last 3 matches (7 scored, 1 conceded) and sit at 4W 1D in their last 5
- Dalian Zhixing's home record over 20 games: 12W 2D 6L, 1.4 scored per game, 1.1 conceded per game
- Sichuan Jiuniu's away record over 20 games: 4W 3D 13L, 0.9 scored per game, 1.8 conceded per game, 0 clean sheets
- Head-to-head: 2 draws in 3 meetings; the only recent meeting (May 2026) was a 1–1 at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground
- Sichuan Jiuniu's last 2 games have been draws, but Dalian Zhixing's current run of 3 wins makes the level score hard to back at value
No Bet. The football evidence points strongly to Dalian Zhixing, and the underdog prices on the draw and the away win do not offer sufficient value against what the results and venue records support. Backing the favourite goes against the underdog's code, so this one passes.