Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction

The force is strong with Dalian Zhixing, you see? Four wins from their last five matches, and the last three of those were victories — seven goals scored, just one conceded. A team that has not lost in five games, that is a team with purpose. And at home, the numbers speak louder still: twelve wins from twenty home games, a record that spans thirteen months and shows a side that knows how to hold the line and break the opposition. They have scored 1.4 goals per game at home and kept eight clean sheets in those twenty fixtures.

Sichuan Jiuniu, they wander. Three draws and a loss from their last five, with the last two being level scores. On the road, the picture is darker still — four wins from twenty away games, thirteen losses. They have not kept a clean sheet in any of those twenty trips, and they have failed to score in nine of them. A team that concedes 1.8 goals per game away and scores 0.9, that is a team the wind blows through.

The head-to-head is thin, I must admit. One meeting within the last twelve months — a 1–1 draw at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground on 19 May. The older meeting at Dalian's ground, back in September 2025, ended 2–1 to the hosts. So the fixture is dated, and we must lean on current form and venue records. And those records point one way, clearly.

The matchup table tells the story without needing words. Dalian Zhixing at home: 1.9 points per game, 1.4 scored, 1.1 conceded, eight clean sheets in twenty. Sichuan Jiuniu away: 0.75 points per game, 0.9 scored, 1.8 conceded, zero clean sheets in twenty. The key lines — points per game, goals scored, goals conceded, clean sheets — all favour the hosts.

Now, the counter-argument, for balance. Sichuan Jiuniu have not lost in their last two matches, and in the head-to-head, both teams have always found the net — three meetings, three times both sides scored. Dalian's last five also saw under 2.5 goals in three of those games, so a tight, low-scoring affair is not out of the question. The draw at 4.12 is a price that reflects the thinness of the head-to-head and the fact that Sichuan Jiuniu, for all their away woes, have kept their last two level.

But the weight of evidence, the form, the venue records — all of it pulls toward the home side. The market prices Dalian Zhixing at 57.14 percent, and I believe the numbers tell a stronger story than that. A team that has won its last three, that has not lost in five, that has won twelve of its last twenty at home, against a side that has won four of its last twenty away — the force is with the hosts.

Key Points:

• Dalian Zhixing have won their last three matches (7 goals scored, 1 conceded) and are unbeaten in five

• Home record: 12 wins from 20 games, 1.4 goals scored per game, 8 clean sheets

• Sichuan Jiuniu away record: 4 wins from 20 games, 13 losses, 0 clean sheets, 9 failures to score

• Head-to-head is limited: 1 recent meeting (1–1 draw), 1 historical meeting at Dalian's ground (2–1 Dalian win)

• Matchup table favours Dalian Zhixing on every metric: points per game, goals scored, goals conceded, clean sheets

I back the Dalian Zhixing home win.