Preview
Mr CertaintyDalian Zhixing arrive at this fixture in commanding form, and their home record tells a story of consistent dominance. Across 20 home games spanning 13 months, they have won 12, drawn 2 and lost 6, averaging 1.9 points per game. They score 1.4 per game at home and concede 1.1, keeping 8 clean sheets in those 20 matches. Their current run is even more impressive: they have won their last three games, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 1. The most recent of those was a 4–0 away victory at Qingdao Youth Island on 11 October, six days before this kickoff. Before that, they beat Qingdao Jonoon 2–1 and Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 at home in early September, and drew 1–1 with Beijing Guoan on 28 August. In their last five matches across all venues, Dalian Zhixing have won four and drawn one, scoring 9 and conceding 2, with clean sheets in three of those five.
Sichuan Jiuniu, by contrast, travel to Dalian with a worrying away record. Over 20 away games spanning 12 months, they have won just 4, drawn 3 and lost 13, averaging 0.75 points per game. They score 0.9 per game on the road and concede 1.8, and they have kept zero clean sheets in those 20 away matches. Their recent form offers little comfort: in their last five games they have won once, drawn three and lost once, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their current run is two consecutive draws — a 2–2 with Henan Jianye at home on 9 October and a 1–1 at Shandong Luneng on 5 September. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
The head-to-head is limited. The only meeting within the last 12 months was a 1–1 draw at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground on 19 May 2026. The two older meetings — a 2–1 Dalian Zhixing win at home in September 2025 and a 1–1 draw at Sichuan's ground in April 2025 — are historical and do not carry the same weight as current form. What they do show is that Dalian Zhixing have never lost to this opponent, and that both teams have scored in every meeting across all three games.
The strongest counter-argument is that Sichuan Jiuniu have shown a degree of resilience in recent weeks, drawing their last two matches and scoring in four of their last five. The 1–1 draw in May also suggests this fixture can produce a tight contest. However, the gap between Dalian Zhixing's home record and Sichuan Jiuniu's away record is stark: 12 wins to 4, 8 clean sheets to 0, and 1.4 goals scored per game to 0.9. Dalian Zhixing's current three-game winning run, with only one goal conceded, points to a side in genuine command at home.
Key Points:
- Dalian Zhixing are 12W 2D 6L at home in 20 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded, with 8 clean sheets.
- Their last three matches have been wins, with 7 goals scored and just 1 conceded.
- Sichuan Jiuniu are 4W 3D 13L on the road in 20 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with 0 clean sheets.
- The only recent head-to-head meeting (19 May 2026) ended 1–1 at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground.
- Dalian Zhixing have scored in all of their last five matches and kept 3 clean sheets in that span.
With Dalian Zhixing's home record and current form pointing strongly to a win, and Sichuan Jiuniu's away record offering little hope of a positive result, the home win at 1.75 is the pick.