Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury. The Cod Army are sitting pretty in 13th with 23 points, while Shrewsbury are languishing down in 21st with just 16 points to their name. On paper, this looks like a home banker, but football's never that simple, is it?

Fleetwood have been decent at home this season - winning 83% of their matches on their own patch and banging in 2.67 goals per game. They've been scoring for fun recently, putting four past both Colchester and Leeds United U21, and notching three against Harrogate Town. But here's the thing - they've only kept one clean sheet in their last ten games, and both teams have scored in 80% of those matches. They're entertaining but leaky at the back.

Shrewsbury, on the other hand, have been proper travellers from hell away from home. Just one win in six away trips, scoring a measly 1.17 goals per game while conceding 1.67. But - and it's a big but - they've got a weird hoodoo over Fleetwood at this ground. Won three of their last five visits here, including a 3-1 thumping last time out. They've also kept four clean sheets in their last ten games, so they can defend when they want to.

Looking at recent form, Fleetwood drew 1-1 with league leaders Swindon in their last home game, which shows they can mix it with the best. Shrewsbury beat Newport 1-0 in their last outing, but let's be honest, Newport are propping up the table.

The stats are screaming goals though. Fleetwood's home games are averaging nearly 4 goals per game (2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded), and with both teams scoring in most of Fleetwood's recent matches, BTTS looks like the smart money here.

Key Points:

• Fleetwood have won 83% of home games this season

• Shrewsbury have won just 16.67% of away games

• Both teams have scored in 80% of Fleetwood's recent matches

• Shrewsbury have won 3 of their last 5 visits to Fleetwood

• Fleetwood average 2.67 goals per game at home

The way I see it, Fleetwood's firepower at home should see them score, but given their defensive issues and Shrewsbury's decent record at this ground, the visitors are likely to nick one too. Both teams to score looks the value play here at 1.83.