Leyton Orient vs Blackpool Prediction

Orient Look Mint at Home vs Struggling Blackpool

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this League One clash down at Leyton Orient. The O's are sitting 16th with 20 points, while Blackpool are propping up the lower reaches in 21st with just 15 points. On paper, this looks like a proper chance for Orient to grab three points and climb the table.

Now, here's where it gets interesting, mate. Orient's recent form has been absolutely mint, winning 7 of their last 10 games - that's a 70% win rate and 2.10 points per game. They've had some proper decent results too, beating Lincoln (who're flying high in 2nd) 1-0 at home, and recently seeing off Exeter 2-1. Their home form is absolutely banging - 100% win rate in their last 4 home games, and they're only letting in 0.5 goals per game on their own patch. That's proper solid, that is!

Blackpool, on the other hand, are having a bit of a nightmare away from home. Only 25% win rate on their travels, losing 75% of their away games. They're only scoring 0.75 goals per game away from home - you're not gonna win many games with stats like that, are you? They did have a decent 3-1 win over Cardiff at home, but away from home they've been leaking points like a sieve. Recent losses to Burton Albion and Tranmere show they're really struggling on the road.

When these two have met before, Orient have had the edge at home - 2 wins from 3 home meetings against Blackpool. Last time they played it ended 2-1, so these games tend to be close affairs, but with Orient coming out on top more often than not.

The stats don't lie either - Orient are averaging 14.1 shots per game compared to Blackpool's 8.9, and they're keeping the ball better too (58.6% possession vs 43.7%). At home, Orient are tight at the back, only conceding 0.5 goals per game, while Blackpool are struggling to score away from home.

The bookies have Orient at 1.73 for the home win, which seems about right given their form and Blackpool's away struggles. I'm quite liking this one - Orient's home form has been brilliant, Blackpool are shocking away, and everything points to a home win here.

Key Points:

  • Orient are unbeaten in their last 4 home games (100% win rate)
  • Blackpool have lost 75% of their away games this season
  • Orient are only conceding 0.5 goals per game at home
  • Blackpool are scoring just 0.75 goals per game away from home
  • Orient have won 2 of their last 3 home meetings against Blackpool

The Verdict: This looks like a straightforward home win to me. Orient's form at home has been top-notch, Blackpool are woeful on their travels, and the stats back it up completely. At 1.73, I reckon there's decent value in backing the O's to get the job done.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.73
+EV
+3.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN