Den Bosch vs De Graafschap Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Dutch second division clash between Den Bosch and De Graafschap. On paper, it's the home side sitting pretty in 7th with 20 points, while the visitors are lurking in 10th on 16 points. But as we all know, league tables don't tell the whole story, do they?

Den Bosch have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde outfit lately. One minute they're getting absolutely hammered 6-0 by Roda, the next they're popping three past league leaders ADO Den Haag in a 3-3 cup thriller. Their home form's been nothing special either - just one win in their last four on their own patch. The big worry for the home fans? They're leaking goals like a sieve, conceding 2.2 per game over their last ten matches.

De Graafschap, on the other hand, have been grinding out results. They might only have three wins in their last ten, but five draws shows they're hard to beat. They've been scoring regularly too, netting 1.8 goals per game. The standout stat for me though? Both teams have scored in a whopping 90% of their recent matches. That's not just good, that's practically money in the bank territory.

When these two have met before, it's usually been good value for the neutral. Six of their last nine encounters have gone over 2.5 goals, and Den Bosch actually have a decent home record against these lads (three wins from five). But given how both teams are playing at the moment, I'm not seeing a clean sheet anywhere in this fixture.

The stats don't lie here - both sides love a goal and both sides are generous at the back. Den Bosch are shipping goals for fun, while De Graafschap have found the net in nine of their last ten games. With both teams averaging over 3.5 goals between them per game, we're in for a proper barnstormer.

Key Points:

• De Graafschap have both teams scoring in 90% of their last 10 matches

• Den Bosch are conceding 2.2 goals per game recently

• 6 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings went over 2.5 goals

• Both teams are averaging over 1.6 goals scored per game

• Den Bosch's home form is poor (25% win rate in last 4 home games)

The numbers are screaming one thing here: both teams will score. With De Graafschap's 90% BTTS rate and Den Bosch's defensive woes, this looks like one of the most straightforward bets you'll see all season. The odds of 1.40 might not set the world on fire, but sometimes the best bets are the obvious ones.