Deportivo La Coruna vs Cadiz Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this top-six tussle in the Segunda. Deportivo La Coruna, sitting pretty in third, host Cadiz, who are nipping at their heels in sixth. On paper, you'd fancy the home side, but football's not played on paper, is it? Let's get stuck in.

Deportivo have been a bit of a puzzle lately. Over their last ten, they've won seven, which is promotion form. But have a butcher's at their recent home league games: a 0-3 tonking by Real Sociedad II, a 1-3 defeat to Castellón, and a 0-1 loss to FC Andorra. That's three losses on the spin at the Riazor, shipping seven goals. Their home form from the last five reads W60% L40%, and they're conceding 1.4 goals a game on their own patch. That's a proper worry for a side with title ambitions.

Cadiz, on the other hand, have been handy on their travels recently. Their last six away show a W50% record, and they've won their last two on the road in the league: 2-1 at Zaragoza and 2-1 at Cordoba. They're scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per away game, which tells you they're in the mix for a goal but leave the back door open. Their overall form is patchy (four wins, two draws, four losses in ten), but they've shown they can turn up away from home.

The head-to-head makes for good reading if you're a Deportivo fan. They've won three of the last six meetings, drawing two and losing just one. More importantly, at home, they've won two and drawn one against Cadiz. The last meeting was a tight 1-0 win for Deportivo back in April.

So, what's the bet? The bookies have Deportivo as favourites at 1.67, but given their recent home stutter, that price feels a bit short for my liking. The value might lie elsewhere. Both Teams to Score 'Yes' is priced at 2.10. Now, let's think about that. Deportivo concede at home (1.4 per game lately), Cadiz score away (1.5 per game). Deportivo still average 1.4 goals scored at home themselves. Cadiz's last two away games finished 2-1 and 2-1. Deportivo's last three home league games saw 3, 4, and 1 total goals. The stats point to both nets getting a shake.

Key Points:

Deportivo are 3rd but have lost their last three home league games.

Cadiz have won their last two away league matches, scoring twice in each.

Head-to-head favours Deportivo, especially at home (2 wins, 1 draw).

Deportivo's home defence has been leaky, conceding 7 goals in last 3 home league outings.

• Cadiz's away games average 3.0 total goals (1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded).

In summary, this has the makings of an open game. Deportivo will be desperate to stop the rot at home, but Cadiz arrive with confidence from their recent road wins. I can see both teams finding the back of the net. At odds of 2.10, Both Teams to Score - Yes offers the best value in this clash.