Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Prediction

Must see, you must, the home record of Desenzano Calvina before this one. Twenty games at their ground, spanning eleven months from 2025-10-05 to 2026-09-26, and the numbers speak with a calm authority: ten wins, six draws, four losses. One point eight per game. One point five goals scored per match, and only zero point eight conceded. Nine clean sheets in twenty. That is a side that knows how to hold the line and find the opening when it presents itself.

Now look across the pitch at Dolomiti Bellunesi's away record. Twenty games on the road, from 2025-11-03 to 2026-09-27, and the picture is less kind. Five wins, seven draws, eight losses. One point one per game. One point one scored, but one point seven conceded. Three clean sheets in twenty. The road is a harder road for them to walk, and the numbers do not lie about that.

Recent form, too, tilts the balance. Desenzano Calvina come into this fixture with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five. Their most recent outing was a 2–1 victory away at Folgore Caratese on 2026-10-03. They are on a one-game winning run. Dolomiti Bellunesi, meanwhile, have won none of their last five. Three draws and two losses, with their most recent game a 1–2 defeat at home to Novara on 2026-10-04. The current run for them is a loss. The momentum, if you will, flows one way.

But here is the thing, and I must be wise about it. Both sides have been drawing. Desenzano Calvina drew 0–0 at home to Juventus U23 on 2026-09-26 and 0–0 away at Treviso on 2026-09-21. Two blank sheets in a row. Dolomiti Bellunesi drew 0–0 away at Renate on 2026-09-17 and 0–0 at home to Albinoleffe on 2026-09-13. Four 0–0 draws between them across their recent fixtures. The game can go quiet. It can go very quiet. And a quiet game is not always a win for the home side.

There is no head-to-head on record between these two clubs. No history to lean on, no old grudges to settle. This is a blank page, and the blank page can go either way. The matchup tables show no clear edge on goals scored or conceded in the last ten games for either side — both sit at three wins, five draws, two losses. The difference, then, must come from the venue. And the venue, as the twenty-game records show, favours Desenzano Calvina.

The market prices Desenzano Calvina's win at 2.2, implying a 45.45% chance. My own reading of the football — the home record, the away record, the recent form — puts the home win closer to fifty percent. The home side has the edge, but the edge is not so wide that I can call it certain. The 0–0 draws on both sides' recent sheets keep me honest.

Key Points:

• Desenzano Calvina's home record: 10W 6D 4L in 20 games, 1.8 points per game, 9 clean sheets

• Dolomiti Bellunesi's away record: 5W 7D 8L in 20 games, 1.1 points per game, 3 clean sheets

• Desenzano Calvina last 5: 2W 2D 1L; Dolomiti Bellunesi last 5: 0W 3D 2L

• Four 0–0 draws between both sides across their recent fixtures — the game can go quiet

• No head-to-head meetings on record; the venue record is the deciding factor

The home side has the numbers, the form, and the ground. A win for Desenzano Calvina is the pick. Home win.