Gateshead vs Braintree Prediction

Relegation Battle Sees Value in Away Win

Preview

In the shadow of the drop zone, where pressure mounts and hope fades, two strugglers meet. Gateshead, second from bottom with 26 points, face Braintree, three places above with 33. Desperate times, these are, and desperate measures required they may be.

Gateshead's recent form, troubling it remains. Seven defeats in ten games, only 0.70 points per game gathered. At home, fortress it is not - zero wins in the last four matches, three of four lost. Yet, signs of life in attack there are. Four goals against Morecambe they scored in a wild 4-4 draw, and Halifax Town they defeated 2-1 on the road. FC Halifax Town, strong opponents with 1.70 points per game form, beaten they were. But defend, they cannot - two goals per game conceded recently, and clean sheets they have none.

Braintree, higher they sit, but comfortable they are not. Thirty-three points from 35 games, survival their only goal. Away from home, dangerous they can be - forty percent of recent away games they have won. Against Gateshead, dominant they have been historically - five wins in nine meetings overall, and at this ground, victorious in three of four visits. History, a teacher it is.

Recent results show Braintree defeating Truro City 3-2 on the road, while Gateshead fell 0-2 at home to Forest Green. Forest Green, out of form with only 0.60 points per game recently, yet they won at Gateshead. Momentum, with the visitors it appears.

Key Points:

  • Gateshead have won none of their last four home matches (0-1-3 record), conceding 2.50 goals per game
  • Braintree have won 40% of their last five away games and score 1.20 goals per game on the road
  • Head-to-head record heavily favors Braintree (5 wins to Gateshead's 1, with 3 wins in 4 visits)
  • Gateshead concede an average of 2.00 goals per game recently with 0% clean sheet rate
  • Braintree have kept three clean sheets in their last ten games (30% rate)

The odds, misleading they seem. Gateshead favorites at 1.91 priced, yet no home wins recently they have. Value, in the away win at 3.30 I see. Braintree, to continue their hex over Gateshead, likely it is. Against the grain the market goes, but wisdom often found in darkness is.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.30
+EV
+15.5%
Estimated Chance35%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN