Modena vs Sudtirol Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B clash between Modena and Sudtirol. What we've got here is a classic tale of two teams heading in completely different directions, my friends.

Modena are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 25 points from 12 games, and it's not hard to see why. Their recent form has been absolutely top-notch - 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10 games. But here's the real kicker: at home, they've been absolutely unstoppable. Five home games, five wins. That's a 100% record, guv'nor! They're banging in 2.4 goals per game on their own patch while letting in a measly 0.4. Just look at some of their recent home results: 3-0 against Juve Stabia, 2-1 vs Empoli, 2-0 against Virtus Entella, and another 3-0 over Bari. Proper stuff!

Now let's talk about Sudtirol. Oh dear, oh dear. They're languishing in 16th place with just 12 points, and their away form is, well... let's just say it's not great. In their last 5 away games, they've managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. They're scoring just 1 goal per game on their travels while shipping 1.6. Recent away results include draws against Carrarese (1-1), Padova (1-1), and Mantova (1-1), plus a 3-0 thumping at Venezia. They haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 games. Not one!

The head-to-head record is reasonably even overall, but Modena have the edge when playing at home with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from 4 meetings. The last encounter ended 0-0, but given current form, I'd be surprised if we see another goalless affair.

Modena are averaging 1.8 goals per game overall and have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10. Sudtirol are averaging 1 goal per game and have let in 1.5 per game on average. The stats are screaming one thing here: home win.

The bookies have Modena at 1.67 to win, which seems about right given the massive gulf in form and home advantage. When you've got a team that's won every home game against a side that can't buy an away win, you don't need to be a rocket scientist to work this one out.

Key Points:

• Modena have won their last 5 home games (100% record)

• Sudtirol haven't won any of their last 5 away games (0% record)

• Modena are scoring 2.4 goals per game at home, conceding just 0.4

• Sudtirol have kept 0 clean sheets in their last 10 games

• There's a 13-point gap between the teams in the league table

Modena should have far too much quality for Sudtirol here. Their home form has been impeccable, while Sudtirol look like they're going through the motions away from home. I'm backing the home side to make it 6 wins on the trot at their own ground.