Huracan vs Newells Old Boys Prediction

Huracan to sink struggling Newells

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Argentine scrap between Huracan and Newells Old Boys. On paper, this looks like a mismatch, and the numbers back that up nicely.

Huracan are sitting mid-table in 11th with 19 points, while Newells are languishing down in 15th with just 11 points from their 14 games. That's an eight-point gap that tells its own story about these two sides' seasons.

Looking at recent form, Huracan have been a bit up and down - 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10. But they've shown some grit, picking up a decent 3-1 win away at Defensa Y Justicia in their last outing. They've also kept some clean sheets against decent opposition like Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo, which shows they can dig in when needed.

Newells though? Blimey, they're in a right old mess. Just 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 games. They've been shipping goals like there's no tomorrow - 20 conceded in 10 matches is shocking stuff. Their away form is absolutely dreadful too - they haven't won a single away game in their last four attempts, and they're only managing 0.25 goals per game on the road. That's not just poor, that's relegation form.

The head-to-head does give Newells fans a glimmer of hope - they won the last meeting 2-0. But that was on their own patch, and historically Huracan have the edge at home with a 2-1-0 record against Newells on their own turf.

When you look at the defensive stats, it's scary stuff for Newells fans. They're conceding 3 goals per game away from home! That's just asking for a beating. Huracan aren't exactly free-scoring at home (only 0.40 goals per game), but against a defense that leaky, even they should fancy their chances.

The bookies have Huracan at 1.80 for the win, which looks about right to me. Newells are in terrible form, can't score away from home, and their defense is about as solid as a chocolate teapot. Huracan at home should be able to grind out a comfortable win against such struggling opposition.

Key Points:

  • Newells are in dreadful form with just 1 win in 10 games
  • Newells have scored only 0.25 goals per game away from home
  • Newells are conceding 3 goals per game on their travels
  • Huracan have a good home record against Newells (2-1-0)
  • Huracan picked up a decent 3-1 away win in their last match

The Verdict: This has got home win written all over it. Newells are in freefall and look completely toothless away from home. Huracan aren't world-beaters, but they should have more than enough quality to see off this struggling Newells side. The odds of 1.80 offer decent value for what looks like a straightforward home victory.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.80
+EV
+17.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN