Doncaster vs Stockport County Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle between Doncaster and Stockport County. The lads from Doncaster are sitting 18th in League One with 22 points, while Stockport are flying high in 5th with 29 points - a proper gap between these two sides.

Now, Doncaster have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde outfit recently. They've been banging in the goals at home, netting 2.4 per game on their own patch, and they've put some decent results together. A 5-1 thumping of Chesterfield in the EFL Trophy and a 2-1 win over Peterborough in the league shows they can score when they want to. But here's the thing - they've kept just one clean sheet in their last ten games. That's right, ONE! Both teams have scored in 90% of their recent matches, so you can basically bank on them conceding.

Stockport, on the other hand, have been drawing for fun lately. Five draws in their last ten games, including three 0-0s and a couple of 1-1s. They're much tighter at the back with four clean sheets in that period, but they've also had some shockers - getting stuffed 3-0 by Peterborough and 3-0 by Luton. Away from home, they've been decent enough with a 40% win rate, scoring 1.4 per game.

When these two have met before, Stockport have generally had the edge, winning two of the four encounters. But the last meeting was way back in January 2024, so form since then matters more.

Looking at the stats, Doncaster are scoring for fun at home but can't defend to save their lives. Stockport are solid but have been prone to the odd defensive collapse. With Doncaster's 90% BTTS rate and Stockport's recent defensive wobbles, I'm expecting both sides to find the net here.

The odds for both teams to score are sitting at 1.62, which looks about right to me. Doncaster's home attack should be too much for Stockport's defense to handle completely, while Stockport have shown they can score against most teams they face.

Key Points:

• Doncaster scoring 2.4 goals per home game but keeping just 10% clean sheets

• Stockport drawing 50% of recent games but have conceded 3+ goals twice in last 10

• Both teams to score in 90% of Doncaster's recent matches

• Stockport have 40% clean sheet record but recent defensive concerns

• Doncaster's home form (60% win rate) vs Stockport's away form (40% win rate)

Summary: I'm backing both teams to score in this one. Doncaster's attacking form at home is too good to ignore, and their defensive record is shocking. Stockport might be higher in the league, but they've shown they can be breached. At 1.62, it looks like decent value for what seems the most likely outcome.