Preview
The Big O here, and I'm telling you, this one's got the smell of a proper goal feast in the air. Dordrecht host VVV Venlo on 24 October in the Eerste Divisie, and if you've been watching either side's recent output, the numbers are singing a very loud tune.
VVV Venlo have been absolutely tearing it up. In their last five matches, they've scored 14 goals while conceding just 8, averaging 2.8 a game on the attack. Their last 10 across all venues tells the same story: 27 goals scored, 8 of those 10 games finishing over 2.5. Away from home over 20 games, 14 of those 20 have gone over 2.5. This is a team that doesn't just score – they score in bundles.
Now look at Dordrecht's defensive record. In their last 10 games, they've conceded 26 goals – that's 2.6 per game. At home over 20 games, they've conceded 35 (1.75 per game). In their last five, they've conceded 9. Their xG against in recent games with data sits at 1.97 per game, and they've actually conceded 12 in those five. The wall is crumbling, folks.
The head-to-head backs it up. Of the 12 meetings between these two sides, 8 have finished over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 19 December 2025 at VVV Venlo's ground, ended 3–1. The older meetings at Dordrecht's ground produced scores of 2–0, 4–0, and 1–0 – all clean sheets for the hosts, though these are historical results.
The counter-argument? Dordrecht kept a clean sheet in their last outing, a 1–0 away win at Jong PSV U21 on 19 October. And at home, 7 of their last 20 games have finished under 2.5. There's also the fact that Dordrecht have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, which could keep the total down if Venlo's attack doesn't click. But honestly, that's a thin reed when you're up against a side averaging nearly 3 goals a game.
Key Points:
- VVV Venlo have gone over 2.5 in 8 of their last 10 games and 14 of their last 20 away
- Dordrecht have conceded 2.6 per game in their last 10 and 1.75 per game at home over 20
- 8 of the 12 head-to-head meetings between these sides finished over 2.5 goals
- VVV Venlo have scored in all of their last 10 games, averaging 2.7 per game
- Dordrecht's xG against in recent games with data is 1.97 per game, with 12 actual goals conceded in 5
The Big O's verdict: Over 2.5 goals.
