Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. A difficult match, this one is. But clear the picture becomes, when the stats we look at.

St Patrick's Athletic, strong they are. In the last 10 games, 6 wins they have. Points per game, 1.90 is their score. Drogheda United, weak they are. Only 1 win in 10 games. Points per game, 0.80 is their score. The difference is clear, you see.

Head-to-head history, important it is. In the last 10 meetings, Drogheda United has not won a single match. St Patrick's Athletic, 5 wins they have. 5 draws there are. Never have they lost to Drogheda. The last meeting, 1-4 was the score. A convincing victory, that was.

Shots and possession, St Patrick's dominate. 19.90 shots per game, they average. 54.6% possession, they hold. Drogheda United, 10.44 shots they average. 39.4% possession, they hold. Control of the match, St Patrick's will have.

Goal expectancy, we calculate. Home team, 1.25 goals expected. Away team, 1.12 goals expected. Total goals, 2.37 is the sum. Under 2.5 goals, likely it is. But the Away Win, stronger signal it is.

Odds for Away Win, 1.85 they are. Implied probability, 54% it is. True probability, higher it is. 65% chance, I estimate. Edge, 11% there is. Value, yes there is.

Do not forget, the venue. Drogheda United home, 20% win rate they have. St Patrick's Athletic away, 50% win rate they have. The advantage, with the visitors it lies.

Key Points:

• St Patrick's Athletic has a 60% win rate in last 10 games.

• Drogheda United has a 10% win rate in last 10 games.

• H2H record shows St Patrick's Athletic has never lost to Drogheda.

• St Patrick's Athletic averages 19.90 shots per game vs Drogheda's 10.44.

• Away Win odds of 1.85 offer value based on form and history.

Bet the away win, you should. St Patrick's Athletic, to win they will.