Dundee vs Aberdeen Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down at Dens Park. Dundee are struggling a bit in 9th, but they've shown some signs of life at home recently - three wins in their last four on their own patch, including that cracking 2-0 victory over Celtic. They've been banging in two goals per game at home, which ain't bad considering their overall form's been a bit dodgy.

Aberdeen, sitting pretty in 7th, have been a different kettle of fish altogether. They're solid as a rock at the back, keeping clean sheets in six of their last ten matches. They've been grinding out results too - four wins and four draws in their last ten, with plenty of 1-0 victories. And let's not forget they absolutely stuffed Dundee 4-0 when these two met earlier in the season.

The head-to-head tells a story - Aberdeen have won five of the nine meetings between these sides, including that recent hammering. But here's the thing: Dundee have looked a different beast at home lately, while Aberdeen have been more about keeping it tight than scoring for fun.

Looking at the numbers, both teams don't exactly light it up in front of goal. Dundee are averaging less than a goal per game overall, while Aberdeen are only managing 0.7. With Aberdeen's defensive record and Dundee's home improvement, this could be one of those tight, niggly affairs where chances are at a premium.

The bookies have got Aberdeen as favorites at 2.05, which makes sense given their form and that 4-0 result last time out. But I'm looking at the goals market here - Under 2.5 at 1.80 catches my eye. Aberdeen are defensively sound, and while Dundee have been better at home, they're still conceding nearly two goals per game overall.