Right, so we've got Dundee at home against Rangers, and if I'm being straight with you, the visitors are rolling in. Rangers have won their last five on the bounce — nine goals scored, one conceded. That's not just a run, that's a statement. They beat Celtic 3–0 at home in the League Cup, then went to Celtic's ground and nicked a 1–0. Then 3–1 over Kilmarnock on 10 October. The numbers don't lie: 9 wins from 10 across all venues, 2.7 points per game, and they've kept six clean sheets in that stretch.
Now, the head-to-head at this ground is brutal. The last time Rangers came to Dundee's ground — back in November — it finished 0–3. And before that, at Ibrox, it was another 3–0. Two meetings in the last 12 months, six goals, zero for the hosts. The older meetings go back further, but those are historical and don't really tell you what's happening now. What matters is that in the recent period, Rangers have won both fixtures at both ends, and the scores were comfortable.
But here's where it gets interesting, and why I'm not just blindly backing the visitors. Dundee's home record over 20 games is actually the better one. Eleven wins, four draws, five losses — 1.85 points per game. They score 1.9 a game at home and concede 1.4. Rangers' away record over 20 games sits at 9 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses — 1.55 points per game. So Dundee's home numbers are actually a touch better than Rangers' away numbers. And Dundee have won their last two — 2–1 at Falkirk and 2–1 at home to Motherwell — scoring four and conceding just two.
The counter-argument, though, is that Dundee's last five overall is 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. They lost 1–2 to Hearts away and 1–2 to Hibs at home. Their xG against over six games with data is 1.78 per game, which means they're being pushed around. Rangers' xG against over their two games with data is just 0.83 per game. That's a big gap in defensive solidity.
So what do we make of it? Rangers are the team in form, the team with the momentum, the team that's won both recent meetings at both ends. Dundee have a solid home record and a couple of recent wins to point to, but the form gap is hard to ignore.
Key Points:
- Rangers have won their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding just 1
- Both recent head-to-head meetings at both venues finished 3–0 to Rangers
- Dundee's home record over 20 games (11W 4D 5L) is marginally better than Rangers' away record (9W 4D 7L)
- Dundee have won their last 2, but their last 5 overall is 2W 1D 2L
- Rangers' latest 10 across all venues: 9W 0D 1L, 2.7 points per game
No Bet. The available prices could not be used for a recommendation.
ScotlandPremiership
