Dundee vs ST Mirren Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle between two sides who've been struggling more than a one-legged man in an arse-kicking contest. Dundee are rock bottom of the Premiership with just 9 points from 13 games, while ST Mirren aren't much better sitting in 9th with 10 points.

Looking at recent form, it's not pretty reading for either side. Dundee have been getting absolutely hammered lately - losing four of their last five including a 0-2 stuffing by Hibernian, a 0-3 pasting by Rangers, and a 0-4 demolition by Hearts. Their only recent highlight was that surprise 2-0 win over Celtic, but let's be honest, that was probably a one-off.

ST Mirren haven't been setting the world alight either, but they've shown a bit more spark. They put four past Motherwell in the League Cup and grabbed a decent 2-2 draw with Hearts. Crucially, they travel better than a budget airline - scoring 1.8 goals per game on their travels compared to Dundee's measly 0.2 away from home.

The head-to-head tells an interesting story too. ST Mirren nicked a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture back in September, and while Dundee have a decent home record against them historically (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), current form suggests that might not count for much.

Both defences are about as solid as a chocolate teapot. Dundee are shipping 2.1 goals per game, while ST Mirren aren't much better at 1.6. Neither side can keep a clean sheet to save their lives - just one each in their last ten matches.

The goal expectancies suggest we'll see a few goals (1.50 for Dundee, 1.70 for ST Mirren), and given both teams' defensive nightmares, that seems about right.

Key Points:

• Dundee have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding 11 goals in the process

• ST Mirren score 1.8 goals per game away from home vs Dundee's 1.2 at home

• Both teams have only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 matches

• ST Mirren won the reverse fixture 1-0 in September

• The visitors are higher in the table and have better recent form

When you look at the numbers, ST Mirren at 2.15 looks like decent value. They're the better side on paper, travel well, and got the job done against Dundee already this season. Dundee's home form isn't terrible on paper, but recent results suggest they're there for the taking against anyone decent.