Harrogate Town vs Accrington ST Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this League Two scrap between two sides who couldn't be in more contrasting form at the moment. Harrogate Town are rock bottom of the table with just 16 points from 18 games, and frankly, their recent form has been shocking. Only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, and they're leaking goals like a sieve - 2.00 per game on average. The lads haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 outings. That's absolutely dreadful, that is.

Accrington ST, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 17th with 21 points, and their form has been much better lately. Only 1 loss in their last 10 games, picking up 1.70 points per game. They're scoring goals for fun too - 1.90 per game - and keeping it tighter at the back with only 1.20 conceded per game. They've been proper solid, especially at home where they haven't lost in 6.

Now here's where it gets interesting, mate. The head-to-head between these two is absolutely mental. They've played 5 times, and every single match has seen both teams score AND go over 2.5 goals. Every single one! Harrogate actually have a decent home record against Accrington too - 2 wins from 3 at home against them.

Looking at the current patterns, both teams tend to score in their matches - Harrogate 70% of the time, Accrington 80%. The goal expectancy suggests around 3.22 goals in this match, which fits the pattern perfectly. Harrogate are terrible defensively but can still find the net (1.40 per game), while Accrington are flying forward but also concede away from home (1.75 per game on their travels).

This has all the makings of a proper barnstormer with goals at both ends, especially given Harrogate's defensive woes and Accrington's attacking prowess. The stats don't lie here - both teams score in the vast majority of their games, and the head-to-head record is screaming it too.

Key Points:

• Harrogate are bottom of League Two with just 16 points

• Accrington have only 1 loss in their last 10 games

• Every head-to-head match (5/5) has seen both teams score

• Every head-to-head match (5/5) has gone over 2.5 goals

• Harrogate haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 matches

• Both teams score in 70% (Harrogate) and 80% (Accrington) of their games

Given all the evidence, I'm backing both teams to score in this one. The patterns are too strong to ignore, and the value looks decent at 1.80.