Preview
Mr SimpleRight then, let's have a proper look at this one. Angers are propping up the table near the bottom, while Monaco are sitting pretty in fifth spot. But as we all know, league positions don't tell the whole story, especially when one side can't buy a win on their travels.
Angers have been proper shocking recently, getting hammered 5-0 by Strasbourg and losing 0-2 to Brest. But here's the thing - at home, they're a different kettle of fish. They've won 60% of their last five home games and kept it tight at the back, only letting in 0.6 goals per game on their own patch. They even managed a 1-0 win against Paris FC not too long ago.
Monaco, on the other hand, are all over the shop. They're scoring goals for fun (2.0 per game) but they're also leaking them at the same rate. Their away form is shocking - just one win in four trips and they're shipping 2.25 goals per game away from home. They've kept exactly zero clean sheets in their last ten matches. Zero! That's not just bad, that's practically inviting teams to have a go.
The head-to-head is heavily in Monaco's favour - they've won eight of the nine meetings and Angers have never beaten them at home. But form-wise, Monaco are struggling on the road, and Angers do raise their game at home.
What's really catching my eye is the Both Teams To Score market. Monaco have seen both teams score in 90% of their last ten games - that's some stat! They're basically guaranteed to both score and concede. Angers at home are averaging a goal per game, and Monaco's away defense is about as solid as a chocolate teapot.
The odds of 1.67 for BTTS Yes look pretty tasty to me. Given Monaco's defensive shambles on the road and Angers' home improvement, I reckon we're in for goals at both ends.