St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers Preview

Preview

In the Premier Division, a clash of titans awaits. St Patrick's Athletic host Shamrock Rovers. The date is set for April 10th, 2026. The venue, St Patrick's home ground, it is a fortress.

St Patrick's Athletic, at home, they are formidable. 2.60 goals per game, they score. 0.40 goals conceded, they allow. A strong defense, they have. 50% clean sheet rate at home. Against Shamrock Rovers, history favors the home side. 75% of home meetings, St Patrick's has won. Three wins, one draw, no losses. The record speaks volumes.

Shamrock Rovers, on the road, they struggle. 1.40 goals per game, they score away. 1.20 goals conceded, they allow. A draw or loss, often the result. 20% win rate away, they have. Against St Patrick's, their away record is poor.

Recent form, we must look. St Patrick's lost last match, 0-2 to Dundalk. But that was away. At home, 80% win rate they maintain. 4 wins, 1 draw in last 5 home games. Consistency, they show.

The odds, they offer value. Home win at 2.45. Implied probability is 40.8%. But the truth, the stats say higher. 75% H2H home win rate. If true probability is 55%, the edge is significant. 6% edge, we need. This bet, it meets the criteria.

Goal markets, we consider. Over 2.5 Goals at 2.28. Fair probability is 41.54%. Implied is 43.8%. No value there. Under 2.5 Goals at 1.62. Fair is 58.46%. Implied is 61.7%. No value there.

Fatigue, we check. 4 days rest for both teams. Matches in last 14 days: 2 for each. No disadvantage for either side.

Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should. The value is there, for the home win.

Key Points:

  • St Patrick's Home Win Rate vs Shamrock: 75%.
  • St Patrick's Home Goals: 2.60 per game.
  • Shamrock Away Goals: 1.40 per game.
  • St Patrick's Home Clean Sheets: 50%.
  • Home Win Odds: 2.45.

The recommended bet is Home Win.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
2.45
+EV
+34.8%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN