Vitesse vs Cambuur Prediction
Bottom Boys vs Title Contenders - Goals Galore?
Preview
Ag man, this is a proper mismatch if I've ever seen one! Cambuur are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 30 points, while Vitesse are rock bottom of the table with a measly 6 points from 12 games. That's like comparing a proper braai to a salad - no contest!
But here's the thing - Vitesse have historically dominated Cambuur at home, winning 3 out of 4 meetings. However, their current home form is shocking - only 25% win rate in their last 4 home games. They've been drawing and losing more than winning, which is not what you want when you're already at the bottom of the table.
Looking at recent results, Vitesse have been scoring goals though. They put 4 past FC Eindhoven away and 4 past Emmen away. Even at home, they scored 2 against Roda and 2 against Den Bosch. The problem is they're also conceding - 1.5 goals per game on average.
Cambuur are flying high but have shown some cracks recently, losing twice to Waalwijk. Still, they're scoring for fun - 2.3 goals per game overall. They put 4 past Jong Ajax in their last game and 5 past Jong PSV before that. Their away form isn't spectacular but they're still finding the net with 1.83 goals per game away from home.
Both teams have an 80% both teams to score rate in their last 10 games. That's pretty telling! When these two meet, goals usually flow - 6 out of 9 H2H matches have gone over 2.5 goals.
The stats show both teams love to attack. Cambuur have better possession (57.7% vs 49.4%) and better shot accuracy (43.4% vs 38.1%). But Vitesse are still creating chances and scoring despite their poor league position.
With goal expectancy sitting at 1.67-1.67, we're looking at around 3.34 goals expected in this match. Both teams are scoring and conceding regularly, and the odds for both teams to score at 1.53 look pretty tasty.
I'm backing both teams to score here. Vitesse might be struggling, but they're still finding the net at home. Cambuur's defense isn't exactly watertight either, conceding 1.7 goals per game. This has all the makings of an entertaining, goal-filled affair!